Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $37.9886 (3.07%) ($36.6016 - $38.0473) on Mon. Oct. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.34% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $37.9886(3.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(55%)    XAR(54%)    XLF(54%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.17% (StdDev 2.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.18(2.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.42(4.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.65(6.56%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   25.2%
Market Cap   $19.319b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 3.39% (three month std-dev: 2.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.96%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.25%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.52%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_10_2016	33.28	35.65	36.42	37.18	37.12	37.26	37.99(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	20	10	111	6.94	86%	0.21	1.2	2.34%	0	1.9	74	INF
2	Oct_7_2016	33.21	35.6	36.04	36.94	37.07	37.08	36.86(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	10	10	101	5.13	87%	0.18	2.4	2.33%	0	1.1	67	INF
3	Oct_6_2016	33.15	35.62	35.83	36.72	36.84	36.99	37.29(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	40	14	95	5.16	87%	0.18	5	2.36%	0	1.3	70	INF
4	Oct_5_2016	33.09	35.65	35.54	36.27	36.46	37.05	36.99(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	130	23	74	4.71	87%	0.15	5.4	2.37%	0	1	58	INF
5	Oct_4_2016	33.04	35.67	35.22	35.87	36	36.7	36.76(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	150	31	51	9.07	87%	0.18	2.7	2.38%	0	0.8	57	INF

6	Oct_3_2016	32.98	35.63	34.97	35.55	35.53	35.86	36.83(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	60	29	24	8.88	87%	0.18	-1.4	2.4%	0	0.9	49	INF
7	Sep_30_2016	32.92	35.57	34.73	35.01	35.15	35.3	35.76(2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	40	11	-23	7.43	87%	0.15	-12.1	2.41%	0	0.1	35	INF
8	Sep_29_2016	32.87	35.55	34.61	34.8	34.85	35.2	34.99(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	70	9	-51	6.18	88%	0.09	-18.2	2.41%	0	-0.4	28	INF
9	Sep_28_2016	32.84	35.58	34.65	34.69	34.71	34.99	35.01(-0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	60	18	-70	6.29	89%	0.06	-22.2	2.44%	0	-0.4	25	INF
10	Sep_27_2016	32.82	35.64	34.69	34.46	34.5	34.5	35.17(3.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	0	7	-94	5.07	79%	0.09	-25.1	2.53%	0	-0.4	31	INF

11	Sep_26_2016	32.79	35.65	34.8	34.3	34.3	34.43	34.12(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	30	-4	-99	7.35	78%	0.06	-28.4	2.66%	0	-1.2	40	INF
12	Sep_23_2016	32.77	35.73	35.12	34.4	34.38	34.5	34.73(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	20	5	-74	4.6	66%	0.09	-28.5	3%	0	-0.8	46	INF
13	Sep_22_2016	32.74	35.79	35.38	34.38	34.45	34.17	34.43(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-50	-7	-70	7.44	66%	0.06	-29.3	3%	0	-1.1	47	INF
14	Sep_21_2016	32.72	35.87	35.77	34.61	34.6	34.26	33.87(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-70	-18	-54	10.41	66%	0.03	-25.4	2.99%	0	-1.7	43	INF
15	Sep_20_2016	32.71	35.96	36.17	34.95	35	34.73	34.34(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-50	-15	-35	6.67	66%	0	-20.5	2.99%	0	-1.5	41	INF

16	Sep_19_2016	32.71	36.02	36.37	35.38	35.3	34.94	34.62(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-80	-21	-21	5.42	66%	0.03	-9.2	2.99%	0	-1.4	49	INF
17	Sep_16_2016	32.7	36.08	36.51	35.95	35.82	35.26	34.67(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-17	-120	-22	-3	10.72	62%	0	13.2	2.99%	0	-1.4	49	INF
18	Sep_15_2016	32.7	36.15	36.61	36.53	36.24	35.66	35.57(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-19	-140	-28	10	7.81	62%	0	40.5	3.02%	0	-0.6	50	INF
19	Sep_14_2016	32.7	36.16	36.63	37.11	36.84	36.37	35.55(-2.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-8	-110	-21	30	8.09	58%	0	70.9	3.02%	0	-0.7	50	INF
20	Sep_13_2016	32.7	36.18	36.71	37.57	37.39	36.82	36.5(-2.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	7	-120	-8	53	9.33	55%	0	98	3.06%	0	0.4	58	INF

21	Sep_12_2016	32.7	36.11	36.61	37.49	37.52	37.31	37.45(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	-40	-2	55	11.96	55%	0.03	101.2	3.09%	0	1.4	67	INF
22	Sep_9_2016	32.69	35.95	36.4	37.13	37.29	37.96	37.6(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	140	17	51	8.62	57%	-0.06	89.4	3.09%	0	1.7	63	INF
23	Sep_8_2016	32.71	35.78	36.22	36.7	36.69	37.74	38.44(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	38	200	35	46	7.1	57%	-0.03	84.9	3.09%	0	2.7	67	INF
24	Sep_7_2016	32.72	35.52	35.93	36.1	36.05	36.62	37.85(4.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	26	110	26	26	13.77	58%	-0.09	78.6	3.09%	0	2.6	65	INF
25	Sep_6_2016	32.75	35.31	35.68	35.77	35.61	35.65	36.1(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10	7	7	5.5	56%		85.3	3.06%	0	1	51	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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