Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $35.6443 (-0.49%) ($35.2643 - $35.8885) on Fri. Aug. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.07% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $35.6443(-0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(55%)    XAR(54%)    XLF(54%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.535% (StdDev 3.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.63(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.77(2.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.48(3.38%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   44.8%
Market Cap   $18.127b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 3.07% (three month std-dev: 3.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.47%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.77%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.92%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160919

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2016	33.11	34.48	34.77	35.63	35.57	35.61	35.64(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	0	7	73	6.68	53%	-0.12	21.8	3.07%	0	1.1	55	INF
2	Aug_18_2016	33.15	34.45	34.57	35.32	35.33	35.66	35.82(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	70	12	62	5.29	53%	-0.15	16.1	3.07%	0	1.3	57	INF
3	Aug_17_2016	33.2	34.36	34.27	34.99	34.94	35.54	35.75(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	120	22	43	8	53%	-0.12	3.4	3.08%	0	1.4	50	INF
4	Aug_16_2016	33.24	34.31	33.96	34.52	34.47	35	35.9(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	21	100	23	15	9.38	54%	-0.12	-3.6	3.08%	0	1.7	51	INF
5	Aug_15_2016	33.28	34.26	33.62	34.1	34.01	34.34	35.04(2.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	5	60	13	-18	7.14	54%	0.06	-10.2	3.07%	0	0.9	44	INF

6	Aug_12_2016	33.26	34.25	33.56	33.8	33.89	33.95	34.11(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	20	8	-31	6.06	51%	-0.15	3.8	3.06%	0	-0.2	44	INF
7	Aug_11_2016	33.31	34.29	33.59	33.7	33.77	33.67	34.15(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	-10	4	-40	7.67	50%	-0.21	29.1	3.12%	0	-0.2	41	INF
8	Aug_10_2016	33.38	34.33	33.69	33.43	33.65	33.83	33.39(-1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-8	60	4	-42	5.88	51%	-0.24	51.7	3.13%	0	-1	48	INF
9	Aug_9_2016	33.46	34.34	33.86	33.3	33.45	33.87	33.79(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	100	14	-42	7.31	51%	-0.27	78.7	3.14%	0	-0.6	44	INF
10	Aug_8_2016	33.55	34.35	34.03	33.07	33.1	33.47	33.55(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	80	3	-51	7.14	51%	-0.27	74.2	3.14%	0	-0.6	42	INF

11	Aug_5_2016	33.64	34.22	34.16	33.29	33.08	33.03	33.64(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-30	-2	-49	16.44	51%	-0.21	67	3.14%	0	-0.4	42	INF
12	Aug_4_2016	33.71	34.03	34.33	33.48	33.39	32.72	32.8(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-150	-22	-50	6.38	49%	-0.27	62.4	3.13%	0	-0.6	37	INF
13	Aug_3_2016	33.8	33.85	34.48	34	33.97	33.13	32.7(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-180	-30	-42	8.25	49%	-0.24	62.9	3.16%	0	-0.5	37	INF
14	Aug_2_2016	33.88	33.64	34.72	34.51	34.6	34.05	32.64(-5.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-100	-27	-19	12.1	49%	-0.26	66.4	3.16%	0	-0.4	49	INF
15	Aug_1_2016	33.97	33.45	34.99	35.1	35.05	34.82	34.67(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-50	-8	14	7.06	52%	-0.21	79.2	3.08%	0	0.5	59	INF

16	Jul_29_2016	34.04	33.16	35.03	35.14	35.22	35.14	34.57(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10	-5	41	9.14	50%	-0.18	79.9	3.1%	0	0.5	75	INF
17	Jul_28_2016	34.1	32.83	35.08	35.3	35.23	35.29	35.39(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	23	10	4	80	6.52	49%	-0.15	73.9	3.12%	0	0.8	83	INF
18	Jul_27_2016	34.15	32.42	35.03	35.04	35.25	35.3	35.26(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	30	6	108	6.67	49%	-0.12	64.9	3.13%	0	0.9	84	INF
19	Jul_26_2016	34.19	31.98	34.87	34.98	34.93	35.17	35.6(2.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	40	2	141	8.87	49%	-0.18	57.1	3.13%	0	1.1	88	INF
20	Jul_25_2016	34.25	31.44	34.69	34.88	34.89	35.19	34.87(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	50	60	8	177	9.53	48%	-0.15	47.4	3.12%	0	0.9	82	INF

21	Jul_22_2016	34.3	31.02	34.28	34.92	34.84	34.7	35.41(4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	52	-40	4	194	14.7	46%	-0.17	44.9	3.14%	0	1.2	81	INF
22	Jul_21_2016	34.36	30.71	33.7	34.83	34.79	34.59	34.05(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	43	-40	-11	203	16.43	43%	-0.17	48	3.15%	0	0.9	81	INF
23	Jul_20_2016	34.42	30.45	33.2	35.01	34.95	34.59	34.98(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	64	0	6	236	13.1	43%	-0.17	50.5	3.15%	0	1.3	88	INF
24	Jul_19_2016	34.48	30.14	32.49	34.72	34.84	34.98	35.07(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	68	40	8	247	7.96	43%	-0.14	50.6	3.15%	0	1.5	89	INF
25	Jul_18_2016	34.53	29.81	31.81	34.46	34.57	34.93	35.09(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	90	80	27	280	8.61	43%		48.6	3.15%	0	1.7	91	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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