Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 2, 2016

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $32.6357 (-5.87%) ($32.5091 - $34.4763) on Tue. Aug. 2, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.16% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $32.6357(-5.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(55%)    XAR(54%)    XLF(54%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.58% (StdDev 3.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.3%

Resistance Level   $33.64
5 Day Moving Average   $34.51(-5.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.72(-6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.64(-2.99%)
To recent high   -8.3%
To recent low   32.6%
Market Cap   $16.597b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 7.82% (three month std-dev: 3.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.32%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.79%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 11.23%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160902

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_2_2016	33.88	33.64	34.72	34.51	34.6	34.05	32.64(-5.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-100	-27	-19	12.1	49%	-0.26	66.4	3.16%	0	-0.4	49	INF
2	Aug_1_2016	33.97	33.45	34.99	35.1	35.05	34.82	34.67(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-50	-8	14	7.06	52%	-0.21	79.2	3.08%	0	0.5	59	INF
3	Jul_29_2016	34.04	33.16	35.03	35.14	35.22	35.14	34.57(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10	-5	41	9.14	50%	-0.18	79.9	3.1%	0	0.5	75	INF
4	Jul_28_2016	34.1	32.83	35.08	35.3	35.23	35.29	35.39(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	23	10	4	80	6.52	49%	-0.15	73.9	3.12%	0	0.8	83	INF
5	Jul_27_2016	34.15	32.42	35.03	35.04	35.25	35.3	35.26(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	30	6	108	6.67	49%	-0.12	64.9	3.13%	0	0.9	84	INF

6	Jul_26_2016	34.19	31.98	34.87	34.98	34.93	35.17	35.6(2.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	40	2	141	8.87	49%	-0.18	57.1	3.13%	0	1.1	88	INF
7	Jul_25_2016	34.25	31.44	34.69	34.88	34.89	35.19	34.87(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	50	60	8	177	9.53	48%	-0.15	47.4	3.12%	0	0.9	82	INF
8	Jul_22_2016	34.3	31.02	34.28	34.92	34.84	34.7	35.41(4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	52	-40	4	194	14.7	46%	-0.17	44.9	3.14%	0	1.2	81	INF
9	Jul_21_2016	34.36	30.71	33.7	34.83	34.79	34.59	34.05(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	43	-40	-11	203	16.43	43%	-0.17	48	3.15%	0	0.9	81	INF
10	Jul_20_2016	34.42	30.45	33.2	35.01	34.95	34.59	34.98(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	64	0	6	236	13.1	43%	-0.17	50.5	3.15%	0	1.3	88	INF

11	Jul_19_2016	34.48	30.14	32.49	34.72	34.84	34.98	35.07(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	68	40	8	247	7.96	43%	-0.14	50.6	3.15%	0	1.5	89	INF
12	Jul_18_2016	34.53	29.81	31.81	34.46	34.57	34.93	35.09(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	90	80	27	280	8.61	43%	-0.12	48.6	3.15%	0	1.7	91	INF
13	Jul_15_2016	34.57	29.46	31.15	33.51	34.02	34.69	34.95(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	99	180	41	272	9.82	43%	-0.17	37	3.15%	0	2	78	INF
14	Jul_14_2016	34.63	29.1	30.39	32.37	32.82	34.21	34.94(4.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	96	340	52	226	16.88	44%	-0.12	20.8	3.15%	0	2.3	62	INF
15	Jul_13_2016	34.67	28.8	29.57	31.11	31.46	33.35	33.55(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	97	450	70	176	15.22	42%	-0.17	3.5	3.13%	0	2.3	61	INF

16	Jul_12_2016	34.73	28.57	28.81	29.92	30.04	31.42	33.76(11.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	79	330	68	111	25.52	42%	-0.17	-18.7	3.14%	0	2.9	61	INF
17	Jul_11_2016	34.79	28.38	27.87	28.8	28.61	29.57	30.35(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	220	30	29	12.37	35%	-0.26	-41.9	2.8%	0	1.3	54	INF
18	Jul_8_2016	34.88	28.45	27.45	28.45	28.15	28.66	29.26(2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	22	100	30	-2	13.66	33%	-0.26	-37.6	2.75%	0	0.5	53	INF
19	Jul_7_2016	34.97	28.59	27.44	28.11	27.87	27.66	28.63(3.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	-80	12	-17	11.78	33%	-0.29	-34.8	2.74%	0	0	52	INF
20	Jul_6_2016	35.07	28.72	27.46	27.78	27.65	27.63	27.61(-2%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	-20	1	-41	18.76	30%	-0.28	-36.5	2.69%	0	-0.6	42	INF

21	Jul_5_2016	35.17	28.91	27.6	27.47	27.53	28.08	28.18(-1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	15	150	34	-44	9.47	30%	-0.26	-38.9	2.68%	0	-0.4	45	INF
22	Jul_1_2016	35.26	29.02	27.65	26.76	26.93	27.67	28.56(3.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	210	33	-91	13.25	29%	-0.2	-50	2.66%	0	-0.2	41	INF
23	Jun_30_2016	35.33	29.09	27.64	26.32	26.23	26.98	27.57(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-34	190	5	-149	11.15	26%	-0.23	-56.7	2.62%	0	-0.7	33	INF
24	Jun_29_2016	35.41	29.26	27.71	26.71	26.16	26.2	26.98(3.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-47	-50	-6	-168	15.01	26%	-0.25	-53.4	2.6%	0	-1.1	29	INF
25	Jun_28_2016	35.5	29.47	27.97	27.14	26.84	25.49	26.07(5.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-76	-390	-41	-182	20.03	23%		-50.1	2.56%	0	-1.7	30	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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