Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $35.4113 (4%) ($34.6711 - $35.6061) on Fri. Jul. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.14% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $35.4113(4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 10.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(55%)    XAR(54%)    XLF(54%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.57% (StdDev 3.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.92(1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.28(3.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.02(14.16%)
To recent high   -4.6%
To recent low   43.9%
Market Cap   $18.009b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 11.86% (three month std-dev: 3.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160822

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_22_2016	34.3	31.02	34.28	34.92	34.84	34.7	35.41(4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	52	-40	4	194	14.7	46%	-0.17	44.9	3.14%	0	1.2	81	0
2	Jul_21_2016	34.36	30.71	33.7	34.83	34.79	34.59	34.05(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	43	-40	-11	203	16.43	43%	-0.17	48	3.15%	0	0.9	81	0
3	Jul_20_2016	34.42	30.45	33.2	35.01	34.95	34.59	34.98(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	64	0	6	236	13.1	43%	-0.17	50.5	3.15%	0	1.3	88	0
4	Jul_19_2016	34.48	30.14	32.49	34.72	34.84	34.98	35.07(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	68	40	8	247	7.96	43%	-0.14	50.6	3.15%	0	1.5	89	0
5	Jul_18_2016	34.53	29.81	31.81	34.46	34.57	34.93	35.09(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	90	80	27	280	8.61	43%	-0.12	48.6	3.15%	0	1.7	91	0

6	Jul_15_2016	34.57	29.46	31.15	33.51	34.02	34.69	34.95(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	99	180	41	272	9.82	43%	-0.17	37	3.15%	0	2	78	0
7	Jul_14_2016	34.63	29.1	30.39	32.37	32.82	34.21	34.94(4.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	96	340	52	226	16.88	44%	-0.12	20.8	3.15%	0	2.3	62	0
8	Jul_13_2016	34.67	28.8	29.57	31.11	31.46	33.35	33.55(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	97	450	70	176	15.22	42%	-0.17	3.5	3.13%	0	2.3	61	0
9	Jul_12_2016	34.73	28.57	28.81	29.92	30.04	31.42	33.76(11.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	79	330	68	111	25.52	42%	-0.17	-18.7	3.14%	0	2.9	61	0
10	Jul_11_2016	34.79	28.38	27.87	28.8	28.61	29.57	30.35(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	220	30	29	12.37	35%	-0.26	-41.9	2.8%	0	1.3	54	0

11	Jul_8_2016	34.88	28.45	27.45	28.45	28.15	28.66	29.26(2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	22	100	30	-2	13.66	33%	-0.26	-37.6	2.75%	0	0.5	53	0
12	Jul_7_2016	34.97	28.59	27.44	28.11	27.87	27.66	28.63(3.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	-80	12	-17	11.78	33%	-0.29	-34.8	2.74%	0	0	52	0
13	Jul_6_2016	35.07	28.72	27.46	27.78	27.65	27.63	27.61(-2%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	-20	1	-41	18.76	30%	-0.28	-36.5	2.69%	0	-0.6	42	0
14	Jul_5_2016	35.17	28.91	27.6	27.47	27.53	28.08	28.18(-1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	15	150	34	-44	9.47	30%	-0.26	-38.9	2.68%	0	-0.4	45	0
15	Jul_1_2016	35.26	29.02	27.65	26.76	26.93	27.67	28.56(3.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	210	33	-91	13.25	29%	-0.2	-50	2.66%	0	-0.2	41	0

16	Jun_30_2016	35.33	29.09	27.64	26.32	26.23	26.98	27.57(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-34	190	5	-149	11.15	26%	-0.23	-56.7	2.62%	0	-0.7	33	0
17	Jun_29_2016	35.41	29.26	27.71	26.71	26.16	26.2	26.98(3.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-47	-50	-6	-168	15.01	26%	-0.25	-53.4	2.6%	0	-1.1	29	0
18	Jun_28_2016	35.5	29.47	27.97	27.14	26.84	25.49	26.07(5.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-76	-390	-41	-182	20.03	23%	-0.22	-50.1	2.56%	0	-1.7	30	0
19	Jun_27_2016	35.58	29.73	28.33	27.77	27.73	26.13	24.61(-6.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-109	-410	-80	-194	23.2	17%	-0.31	-44.6	2.43%	0	-2.7	22	0
20	Jun_24_2016	35.69	30.07	28.99	28.63	28.74	28.2	26.34(-10.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-69	-120	-44	-144	36.05	18%	-0.31	-43.8	2.34%	0	-2.6	34	0

21	Jun_23_2016	35.8	30.3	29.58	29.08	29.27	29.33	29.54(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	30	13	-102	9.14	21%	-0.2	-46.6	1.99%	0	-0.6	49	0
22	Jun_22_2016	35.87	30.39	29.85	28.85	29.02	29.28	29.11(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	80	0	-107	6.68	21%	-0.19	-54	1.98%	0	-1.1	41	0
23	Jun_21_2016	35.94	30.51	30.1	28.96	28.88	29.2	29.24(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	70	6	-95	8.92	21%	-0.25	-55.1	1.98%	0	-1.1	40	0
24	Jun_20_2016	36.03	30.6	30.33	29.03	29.02	28.77	28.93(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-60	-13	-96	8.36	21%	-0.25	-57.7	1.98%	0	-1.5	39	0
25	Jun_17_2016	36.12	30.71	30.5	29.44	29.31	28.56	28.57(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-63	-190	-53	-94	15.3	24%		-49	2.02%	0	-2.1	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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