Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $33.5511 (-0.61%) ($33.2249 - $34.3692) on Wed. Jul. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.13% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $33.5511(-0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 7.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(55%)    XAR(54%)    XLF(54%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.565% (StdDev 3.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.11(7.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.57(13.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.8(16.5%)
To recent high   -16.4%
To recent low   36.3%
Market Cap   $17.063b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 7.33% (three month std-dev: 3.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2016	34.67	28.8	29.57	31.11	31.46	33.35	33.55(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	97	450	70	176	15.22	42%	-0.17	3.5	3.13%	0	2.3	61	INF
2	Jul_12_2016	34.73	28.57	28.81	29.92	30.04	31.42	33.76(11.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	79	330	68	111	25.52	42%	-0.17	-18.7	3.14%	0	2.9	61	INF
3	Jul_11_2016	34.79	28.38	27.87	28.8	28.61	29.57	30.35(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	220	30	29	12.37	35%	-0.26	-41.9	2.8%	0	1.3	54	INF
4	Jul_8_2016	34.88	28.45	27.45	28.45	28.15	28.66	29.26(2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	22	100	30	-2	13.66	33%	-0.26	-37.6	2.75%	0	0.5	53	INF
5	Jul_7_2016	34.97	28.59	27.44	28.11	27.87	27.66	28.63(3.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	-80	12	-17	11.78	33%	-0.29	-34.8	2.74%	0	0	52	INF

6	Jul_6_2016	35.07	28.72	27.46	27.78	27.65	27.63	27.61(-2%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	-20	1	-41	18.76	30%	-0.28	-36.5	2.69%	0	-0.6	42	INF
7	Jul_5_2016	35.17	28.91	27.6	27.47	27.53	28.08	28.18(-1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	15	150	34	-44	9.47	30%	-0.26	-38.9	2.68%	0	-0.4	45	INF
8	Jul_1_2016	35.26	29.02	27.65	26.76	26.93	27.67	28.56(3.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	210	33	-91	13.25	29%	-0.2	-50	2.66%	0	-0.2	41	INF
9	Jun_30_2016	35.33	29.09	27.64	26.32	26.23	26.98	27.57(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-34	190	5	-149	11.15	26%	-0.23	-56.7	2.62%	0	-0.7	33	INF
10	Jun_29_2016	35.41	29.26	27.71	26.71	26.16	26.2	26.98(3.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-47	-50	-6	-168	15.01	26%	-0.25	-53.4	2.6%	0	-1.1	29	INF

11	Jun_28_2016	35.5	29.47	27.97	27.14	26.84	25.49	26.07(5.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-76	-390	-41	-182	20.03	23%	-0.22	-50.1	2.56%	0	-1.7	30	INF
12	Jun_27_2016	35.58	29.73	28.33	27.77	27.73	26.13	24.61(-6.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-109	-410	-80	-194	23.2	17%	-0.31	-44.6	2.43%	0	-2.7	22	INF
13	Jun_24_2016	35.69	30.07	28.99	28.63	28.74	28.2	26.34(-10.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-69	-120	-44	-144	36.05	18%	-0.31	-43.8	2.34%	0	-2.6	34	INF
14	Jun_23_2016	35.8	30.3	29.58	29.08	29.27	29.33	29.54(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	30	13	-102	9.14	21%	-0.2	-46.6	1.99%	0	-0.6	49	INF
15	Jun_22_2016	35.87	30.39	29.85	28.85	29.02	29.28	29.11(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	80	0	-107	6.68	21%	-0.19	-54	1.98%	0	-1.1	41	INF

16	Jun_21_2016	35.94	30.51	30.1	28.96	28.88	29.2	29.24(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	70	6	-95	8.92	21%	-0.25	-55.1	1.98%	0	-1.1	40	INF
17	Jun_20_2016	36.03	30.6	30.33	29.03	29.02	28.77	28.93(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-60	-13	-96	8.36	21%	-0.25	-57.7	1.98%	0	-1.5	39	INF
18	Jun_17_2016	36.12	30.71	30.5	29.44	29.31	28.56	28.57(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-63	-190	-53	-94	15.3	24%	-0.25	-49	2.02%	0	-2.1	39	INF
19	Jun_16_2016	36.21	30.86	30.67	30.18	30.07	29.27	28.38(-4.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-60	-200	-59	-64	18.24	24%	-0.28	-30.2	2.01%	0	-2.7	39	INF
20	Jun_15_2016	36.31	31.04	30.94	31.01	30.94	30.05	29.69(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-36	-210	-42	-18	8.15	26%	-0.25	-8.9	1.95%	0	-1.8	41	INF

21	Jun_14_2016	36.4	31.15	31.1	31.4	31.48	30.87	29.57(-4.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.7	-32	-130	-43	2	13.8	26%	-0.22	-0.5	1.95%	0	-2.3	40	INF
22	Jun_13_2016	36.48	31.24	31.27	31.79	31.85	31.83	30.97(-4.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	9	0	-2	43	9.23	28%	-0.22	12.1	1.89%	0	-0.5	52	INF
23	Jun_10_2016	36.56	31.23	31.26	31.69	31.75	32.08	32.28(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	35	80	30	48	8.25	30%	-0.19	-4.3	1.86%	0	1.8	58	INF
24	Jun_9_2016	36.63	31.14	31.09	31.23	31.24	31.87	32.53(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	28	140	31	17	8.19	30%	-0.14	-39.5	1.86%	0	2.5	59	INF
25	Jun_8_2016	36.68	31.1	30.95	30.89	30.81	31.42	31.66(0.46%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	19	130	28	-8	8.17	25%		-66.5	1.84%	0	1.1	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.