Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $27.6103 (-2%) ($26.4124 - $27.6590) on Wed. Jul. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.69% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $27.6103(-2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(55%)    XLI(55%)    XAR(54%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.345% (StdDev 2.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

Resistance Level   $28.72
5 Day Moving Average   $27.78(-0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.46(0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.72(-3.86%)
To recent high   -31.2%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $14.041b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 6.93% (three month std-dev: 2.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 6.48%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 6.03%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 5.04%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160806

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_6_2016	35.07	28.72	27.46	27.78	27.65	27.63	27.61(-2%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	-20	1	-41	18.76	30%	-0.28	-36.5	2.69%	0	-0.6	42	0
2	Jul_5_2016	35.17	28.91	27.6	27.47	27.53	28.08	28.18(-1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	15	150	34	-44	9.47	30%	-0.26	-38.9	2.68%	0	-0.4	45	0
3	Jul_1_2016	35.26	29.02	27.65	26.76	26.93	27.67	28.56(3.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	210	33	-91	13.25	29%	-0.2	-50	2.66%	0	-0.2	41	0
4	Jun_30_2016	35.33	29.09	27.64	26.32	26.23	26.98	27.57(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-34	190	5	-149	11.15	26%	-0.23	-56.7	2.62%	0	-0.7	33	0
5	Jun_29_2016	35.41	29.26	27.71	26.71	26.16	26.2	26.98(3.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-47	-50	-6	-168	15.01	26%	-0.25	-53.4	2.6%	0	-1.1	29	0

6	Jun_28_2016	35.5	29.47	27.97	27.14	26.84	25.49	26.07(5.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-76	-390	-41	-182	20.03	23%	-0.22	-50.1	2.56%	0	-1.7	30	0
7	Jun_27_2016	35.58	29.73	28.33	27.77	27.73	26.13	24.61(-6.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-109	-410	-80	-194	23.2	17%	-0.31	-44.6	2.43%	0	-2.7	22	0
8	Jun_24_2016	35.69	30.07	28.99	28.63	28.74	28.2	26.34(-10.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-69	-120	-44	-144	36.05	18%	-0.31	-43.8	2.34%	0	-2.6	34	0
9	Jun_23_2016	35.8	30.3	29.58	29.08	29.27	29.33	29.54(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	30	13	-102	9.14	21%	-0.2	-46.6	1.99%	0	-0.6	49	0
10	Jun_22_2016	35.87	30.39	29.85	28.85	29.02	29.28	29.11(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	80	0	-107	6.68	21%	-0.19	-54	1.98%	0	-1.1	41	0

11	Jun_21_2016	35.94	30.51	30.1	28.96	28.88	29.2	29.24(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	70	6	-95	8.92	21%	-0.25	-55.1	1.98%	0	-1.1	40	0
12	Jun_20_2016	36.03	30.6	30.33	29.03	29.02	28.77	28.93(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-60	-13	-96	8.36	21%	-0.25	-57.7	1.98%	0	-1.5	39	0
13	Jun_17_2016	36.12	30.71	30.5	29.44	29.31	28.56	28.57(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-63	-190	-53	-94	15.3	24%	-0.25	-49	2.02%	0	-2.1	39	0
14	Jun_16_2016	36.21	30.86	30.67	30.18	30.07	29.27	28.38(-4.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-60	-200	-59	-64	18.24	24%	-0.28	-30.2	2.01%	0	-2.7	39	0
15	Jun_15_2016	36.31	31.04	30.94	31.01	30.94	30.05	29.69(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-36	-210	-42	-18	8.15	26%	-0.25	-8.9	1.95%	0	-1.8	41	0

16	Jun_14_2016	36.4	31.15	31.1	31.4	31.48	30.87	29.57(-4.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.7	-32	-130	-43	2	13.8	26%	-0.22	-0.5	1.95%	0	-2.3	40	0
17	Jun_13_2016	36.48	31.24	31.27	31.79	31.85	31.83	30.97(-4.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	9	0	-2	43	9.23	28%	-0.22	12.1	1.89%	0	-0.5	52	0
18	Jun_10_2016	36.56	31.23	31.26	31.69	31.75	32.08	32.28(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	35	80	30	48	8.25	30%	-0.19	-4.3	1.86%	0	1.8	58	0
19	Jun_9_2016	36.63	31.14	31.09	31.23	31.24	31.87	32.53(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	28	140	31	17	8.19	30%	-0.14	-39.5	1.86%	0	2.5	59	0
20	Jun_8_2016	36.68	31.1	30.95	30.89	30.81	31.42	31.66(0.46%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	19	130	28	-8	8.17	25%	-0.16	-66.5	1.84%	0	1.1	47	0

21	Jun_7_2016	36.74	31.15	30.91	30.79	30.81	30.62	31.52(3.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	4	-20	14	-25	12.42	25%	-0.14	-63.8	1.87%	0	0.6	45	0
22	Jun_6_2016	36.79	31.17	30.84	30.7	30.61	30.2	30.44(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-100	-17	-47	8.34	20%	-0.22	-74.6	1.82%	0	-1.1	42	0
23	Jun_3_2016	36.87	31.26	30.91	30.77	30.81	30.6	30.01(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-24	-40	-19	-40	12.42	20%	-0.24	-82.7	1.8%	0	-1.9	46	0
24	Jun_2_2016	36.96	31.36	31.05	30.91	30.94	31.03	30.84(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	20	-4	-19	6.81	21%	-0.24	-105.8	1.79%	0	-0.9	56	0
25	Jun_1_2016	37.05	31.43	31.14	31.01	30.96	31.02	31.12(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	10	1	-14	6.42	21%		-122.3	1.79%	0	-0.5	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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