Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 9, 2016

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $32.5285 (2.74%) ($31.4085 - $32.7038) on Thu. Jun. 9, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.86% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $32.5285(2.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(55%)    XLF(55%)    XLI(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.93% (StdDev 1.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.23(4.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.09(4.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.14(4.46%)
To recent high   -22.9%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $16.543b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 1.77% (three month std-dev: 1.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.84%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 4.09%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.32%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160709

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_9_2016	36.63	31.14	31.09	31.23	31.24	31.87	32.53(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	28	140	31	17	8.19	30%	-0.14	-39.5	1.86%	0	2.5	59	0
2	Jun_8_2016	36.68	31.1	30.95	30.89	30.81	31.42	31.66(0.46%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	19	130	28	-8	8.17	25%	-0.16	-66.5	1.84%	0	1.1	47	0
3	Jun_7_2016	36.74	31.15	30.91	30.79	30.81	30.62	31.52(3.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	4	-20	14	-25	12.42	25%	-0.14	-63.8	1.87%	0	0.6	45	0
4	Jun_6_2016	36.79	31.17	30.84	30.7	30.61	30.2	30.44(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-100	-17	-47	8.34	20%	-0.22	-74.6	1.82%	0	-1.1	42	0
5	Jun_3_2016	36.87	31.26	30.91	30.77	30.81	30.6	30.01(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-24	-40	-19	-40	12.42	20%	-0.24	-82.7	1.8%	0	-1.9	46	0

6	Jun_2_2016	36.96	31.36	31.05	30.91	30.94	31.03	30.84(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	20	-4	-19	6.81	21%	-0.24	-105.8	1.79%	0	-0.9	56	0
7	Jun_1_2016	37.05	31.43	31.14	31.01	30.96	31.02	31.12(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	10	1	-14	6.42	21%	-0.24	-122.3	1.79%	0	-0.5	41	0
8	May_31_2016	37.14	31.55	31.2	31.05	31.07	30.86	31.08(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-50	-1	-23	9.62	21%	-0.3	-108.9	1.81%	0	-0.6	34	0
9	May_27_2016	37.25	31.67	31.2	31.01	31.14	30.9	30.82(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-40	-14	-38	8.57	21%	-0.24	-102	1.81%	0	-0.9	41	0
10	May_26_2016	37.34	31.81	31.22	31.08	31.22	31.28	30.69(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	30	-9	-46	7.22	21%	-0.24	-96.9	1.82%	0	-1	40	0

11	May_25_2016	37.43	32.01	31.21	31.21	31.32	31.38	31.33(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	20	4	-48	7.4	22%	-0.21	-93.1	1.81%	0	-0.5	45	0
12	May_24_2016	37.51	32.21	31.27	31.29	31.27	31.15	31.31(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-20	-30	-9	-52	6.96	22%	-0.24	-93.4	1.83%	0	-0.6	42	0
13	May_23_2016	37.6	32.42	31.41	31.39	31.44	31.26	30.9(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-40	-8	-55	6.5	22%	-0.19	-95.1	1.82%	0	-0.9	31	0
14	May_20_2016	37.67	32.67	31.53	31.46	31.59	31.38	31.17(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-30	-1	-61	7.28	26%	-0.26	-93.2	1.85%	0	-0.8	34	0
15	May_19_2016	37.77	32.95	31.63	31.37	31.47	31.61	31.31(-1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-17	40	4	-79	8.88	26%	-0.26	-85.8	1.86%	0	-0.7	34	0

16	May_18_2016	37.87	33.31	31.69	31.21	31.29	31.79	31.76(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	120	13	-111	9.14	26%	-0.29	-77.3	1.86%	0	-0.6	30	0
17	May_17_2016	37.98	33.7	31.75	31.25	31.15	31.34	31.79(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-33	30	4	-142	13.3	26%	-0.26	-68.1	1.86%	0	-0.7	27	0
18	May_16_2016	38.08	34.09	31.92	31.47	31.35	30.79	31.28(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	-140	-16	-158	12.4	26%	-0.18	-60.2	1.87%	0	-0.9	22	0
19	May_13_2016	38.15	34.5	32.13	31.63	31.75	30.96	30.69(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-77	-160	-42	-182	10.13	23%	-0.34	-55	1.87%	0	-1.2	17	0
20	May_12_2016	38.28	34.95	32.44	31.93	32.18	31.91	30.51(-4.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-70	-40	-29	-191	14.23	29%	-0.31	-49.8	1.88%	0	-1.4	13	0

21	May_11_2016	38.4	35.43	32.88	32.22	32.33	32.54	32(-2.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-49	60	1	-199	8.15	31%	-0.23	-46.2	1.86%	0	-1.1	12	0
22	May_10_2016	38.49	35.77	33.23	32.29	32.26	32.46	32.89(2.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-55	40	4	-233	8.12	37%	-0.23	-46	1.84%	0	-1	12	0
23	May_9_2016	38.58	36.04	33.5	32.44	32.31	32.11	32.08(-0.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-78	-60	-14	-268	9.31	33%	-0.21	-45.8	1.84%	0	-1.4	4	0
24	May_6_2016	38.66	36.33	33.88	32.73	32.63	32.06	32.17(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-94	-130	-30	-286	12.75	31%	-0.23	-47	1.88%	0	-1.5	9	0
25	May_5_2016	38.75	36.61	34.37	33.04	33.11	32.51	31.95(-1.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-107	-120	-44	-297	11.61	29%		-49.4	1.89%	0	-1.8	7	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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