Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $32.0026 (-2.69%) ($31.9929 - $33.1518) on Wed. May. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.86% (three month average)
RSI   12
Latest Price   $32.0026(-2.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -6.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(84%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(55%)    XLI(55%)    XAR(54%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.93% (StdDev 1.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $17.12(-46.5%)
Resistance Level   $35.43
5 Day Moving Average   $32.22(-0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.88(-2.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.43(-9.67%)
To recent high   -24.2%
To recent low   0.2%
Market Cap   $16.275b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 8.64% (three month std-dev: 1.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.88%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -5.87%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.27%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160611

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_11_2016	38.4	35.43	32.88	32.22	32.33	32.54	32(-2.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-49	60	1	-199	8.15	31%	-0.23	-46.2	1.86%	0	-1.1	12	INF
2	May_10_2016	38.49	35.77	33.23	32.29	32.26	32.46	32.89(2.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-55	40	4	-233	8.12	37%	-0.23	-46	1.84%	0	-1	12	INF
3	May_9_2016	38.58	36.04	33.5	32.44	32.31	32.11	32.08(-0.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-78	-60	-14	-268	9.31	33%	-0.21	-45.8	1.84%	0	-1.4	4	INF
4	May_6_2016	38.66	36.33	33.88	32.73	32.63	32.06	32.17(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-94	-130	-30	-286	12.75	31%	-0.23	-47	1.88%	0	-1.5	9	INF
5	May_5_2016	38.75	36.61	34.37	33.04	33.11	32.51	31.95(-1.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-107	-120	-44	-297	11.61	29%	-0.28	-49.4	1.89%	0	-1.8	7	INF

6	May_4_2016	38.86	36.9	35.04	33.63	33.58	33.19	32.34(-3.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-101	-90	-44	-273	13.41	29%	-0.23	-52.6	1.94%	0	-1.9	7	INF
7	May_3_2016	38.95	37.2	35.8	34.3	34.24	33.71	33.68(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-80	-110	-28	-236	10.67	31%	-0.18	-55.9	1.9%	0	-1.7	22	INF
8	May_2_2016	39.02	37.42	36.43	34.73	34.78	33.97	33.53(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-85	-160	-43	-209	8.83	28%	-0.2	-60.3	1.91%	0	-2	28	INF
9	Apr_29_2016	39.1	37.68	37.06	35.21	35.3	34.77	33.69(-3.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-78	-100	-48	-167	17.81	31%	-0.23	-64.7	2.03%	0	-2.3	33	INF
10	Apr_28_2016	39.19	37.93	37.68	35.89	35.91	35.6	34.93(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-54	-60	-32	-120	9.84	31%	-0.2	-65.3	2.01%	0	-2	39	INF

11	Apr_27_2016	39.27	38.18	38.2	36.68	36.24	35.84	35.65(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-52	-110	-45	-74	12.31	32%	-0.18	-58.4	2.05%	0	-1.8	44	INF
12	Apr_26_2016	39.34	38.41	38.54	37.56	37.1	36.22	35.85(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-44	-200	-48	-32	14.69	34%	-0.23	-49.3	2.05%	0	-1.9	41	INF
13	Apr_25_2016	39.43	38.63	38.8	38.42	38.17	36.64	35.93(-3.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-48	-300	-64	-0	12.67	32%	-0.2	-43.1	2.07%	0	-2.2	42	INF
14	Apr_22_2016	39.51	38.83	39.02	39.18	39.05	37.99	37.11(-4.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-42	-200	-65	28	20.94	34%	-0.13	-39.9	2.07%	0	-1.6	45	INF
15	Apr_21_2016	39.56	38.95	39.08	39.71	39.8	39.69	38.85(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10	-19	66	10.78	37%	-0.1	-35.9	1.99%	0	-0.1	55	INF

16	Apr_20_2016	39.6	39.04	38.94	39.93	39.97	40.12	40.07(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	30	13	73	5.02	39%	-0.05	-30.1	1.96%	0	0.9	49	INF
17	Apr_19_2016	39.62	39.09	38.71	39.68	39.85	39.92	40.15(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	30	20	48	6.65	39%	0	-31.3	1.97%	0	0.9	46	INF
18	Apr_18_2016	39.62	39.17	38.47	39.26	39.43	39.83	39.74(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	80	20	14	5.25	39%	0	-33.4	1.96%	0	0.4	43	INF
19	Apr_15_2016	39.62	39.28	38.3	38.83	38.97	39.78	39.73(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	27	160	39	-8	6.98	36%	0	-35.4	1.98%	0	0.3	48	INF
20	Apr_14_2016	39.62	39.32	38.15	38.36	38.45	39.03	39.98(3.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	24	110	43	-33	10.13	36%	0	-42.1	2.06%	0	0.4	53	INF

21	Apr_13_2016	39.62	39.37	38.09	37.82	37.88	38.16	38.79(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	60	16	-74	12.49	29%	-0.03	-49.1	2.02%	0	-0.4	34	INF
22	Apr_12_2016	39.63	39.47	38.2	37.62	37.63	37.87	38.06(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	50	8	-93	6.43	32%	-0.08	-48.9	2.09%	0	-0.9	24	INF
23	Apr_11_2016	39.66	39.63	38.4	37.57	37.58	37.6	37.61(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-26	0	2	-111	7.93	32%	-0.1	-48.8	2.1%	0	-1.3	17	INF
24	Apr_8_2016	39.7	39.82	38.61	37.69	37.6	37.39	37.39(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-50	-13	-129	6.09	32%	-0.1	-45.9	2.11%	0	-1.5	15	INF
25	Apr_7_2016	39.74	39.98	38.81	37.89	37.88	37.55	37.25(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-60	-23	-137	8.21	32%		-47.1	2.11%	0	-1.9	29	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.