Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $32.1682 (0.69%) ($31.3501 - $32.2851) on Fri. May. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.88% (three month average)
RSI   9
Latest Price   $32.1682(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -8.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(84%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(55%)    XLF(55%)    XLI(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.94% (StdDev 1.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $19.42(-39.63%)
Resistance Level   $36.33
5 Day Moving Average   $32.73(-1.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.88(-5.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.33(-11.46%)
To recent high   -23.8%
To recent low   0.7%
Market Cap   $16.359b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 7.6% (three month std-dev: 1.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 2.43%(45%) Average negative next day return: -1.5%(55%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 2.89%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -2.25%(45%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 6.37%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.53%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160606

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_6_2016	38.66	36.33	33.88	32.73	32.63	32.06	32.17(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-94	-130	-30	-286	12.75	31%	-0.23	-47	1.88%	0	-1.5	9	INF
2	May_5_2016	38.75	36.61	34.37	33.04	33.11	32.51	31.95(-1.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-107	-120	-44	-297	11.61	29%	-0.28	-49.4	1.89%	0	-1.8	7	INF
3	May_4_2016	38.86	36.9	35.04	33.63	33.58	33.19	32.34(-3.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-101	-90	-44	-273	13.41	29%	-0.23	-52.6	1.94%	0	-1.9	7	INF
4	May_3_2016	38.95	37.2	35.8	34.3	34.24	33.71	33.68(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-80	-110	-28	-236	10.67	31%	-0.18	-55.9	1.9%	0	-1.7	22	INF
5	May_2_2016	39.02	37.42	36.43	34.73	34.78	33.97	33.53(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-85	-160	-43	-209	8.83	28%	-0.2	-60.3	1.91%	0	-2	28	INF

6	Apr_29_2016	39.1	37.68	37.06	35.21	35.3	34.77	33.69(-3.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-78	-100	-48	-167	17.81	31%	-0.23	-64.7	2.03%	0	-2.3	33	INF
7	Apr_28_2016	39.19	37.93	37.68	35.89	35.91	35.6	34.93(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-54	-60	-32	-120	9.84	31%	-0.2	-65.3	2.01%	0	-2	39	INF
8	Apr_27_2016	39.27	38.18	38.2	36.68	36.24	35.84	35.65(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-52	-110	-45	-74	12.31	32%	-0.18	-58.4	2.05%	0	-1.8	44	INF
9	Apr_26_2016	39.34	38.41	38.54	37.56	37.1	36.22	35.85(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-44	-200	-48	-32	14.69	34%	-0.23	-49.3	2.05%	0	-1.9	41	INF
10	Apr_25_2016	39.43	38.63	38.8	38.42	38.17	36.64	35.93(-3.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-48	-300	-64	-0	12.67	32%	-0.2	-43.1	2.07%	0	-2.2	42	INF

11	Apr_22_2016	39.51	38.83	39.02	39.18	39.05	37.99	37.11(-4.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-42	-200	-65	28	20.94	34%	-0.13	-39.9	2.07%	0	-1.6	45	INF
12	Apr_21_2016	39.56	38.95	39.08	39.71	39.8	39.69	38.85(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10	-19	66	10.78	37%	-0.1	-35.9	1.99%	0	-0.1	55	INF
13	Apr_20_2016	39.6	39.04	38.94	39.93	39.97	40.12	40.07(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	30	13	73	5.02	39%	-0.05	-30.1	1.96%	0	0.9	49	INF
14	Apr_19_2016	39.62	39.09	38.71	39.68	39.85	39.92	40.15(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	30	20	48	6.65	39%	0	-31.3	1.97%	0	0.9	46	INF
15	Apr_18_2016	39.62	39.17	38.47	39.26	39.43	39.83	39.74(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	80	20	14	5.25	39%	0	-33.4	1.96%	0	0.4	43	INF

16	Apr_15_2016	39.62	39.28	38.3	38.83	38.97	39.78	39.73(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	27	160	39	-8	6.98	36%	0	-35.4	1.98%	0	0.3	48	INF
17	Apr_14_2016	39.62	39.32	38.15	38.36	38.45	39.03	39.98(3.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	24	110	43	-33	10.13	36%	0	-42.1	2.06%	0	0.4	53	INF
18	Apr_13_2016	39.62	39.37	38.09	37.82	37.88	38.16	38.79(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	60	16	-74	12.49	29%	-0.03	-49.1	2.02%	0	-0.4	34	INF
19	Apr_12_2016	39.63	39.47	38.2	37.62	37.63	37.87	38.06(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	50	8	-93	6.43	32%	-0.08	-48.9	2.09%	0	-0.9	24	INF
20	Apr_11_2016	39.66	39.63	38.4	37.57	37.58	37.6	37.61(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-26	0	2	-111	7.93	32%	-0.1	-48.8	2.1%	0	-1.3	17	INF

21	Apr_8_2016	39.7	39.82	38.61	37.69	37.6	37.39	37.39(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-50	-13	-129	6.09	32%	-0.1	-45.9	2.11%	0	-1.5	15	INF
22	Apr_7_2016	39.74	39.98	38.81	37.89	37.88	37.55	37.25(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-60	-23	-137	8.21	32%	-0.08	-47.1	2.11%	0	-1.9	29	INF
23	Apr_6_2016	39.77	40.16	39.16	38.4	38.19	37.82	37.78(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-80	-29	-123	5.65	32%	-0.08	-42	2.12%	0	-1.8	30	INF
24	Apr_5_2016	39.8	40.26	39.53	38.88	38.78	38.21	37.8(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-47	-110	-28	-102	7.65	32%	-0.1	-39.5	2.13%	0	-2.1	32	INF
25	Apr_4_2016	39.84	40.43	39.96	39.35	39.41	38.56	38.23(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-44	-150	-31	-81	7.83	30%		-28.5	2.13%	0	-2.1	32	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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