Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $34.9305 (-2.02%) ($34.8528 - $36.0181) on Thu. Apr. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.01% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $34.9305(-2.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(84%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(55%)    XLI(55%)    XAR(54%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.005% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.005% (StdDev 2.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $28.94(-17.15%)
Resistance Level   $37.93
5 Day Moving Average   $35.89(-2.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.68(-7.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.93(-7.91%)
To recent high   -17.3%
To recent low   1.2%
Market Cap   $17.764b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 4.03% (three month std-dev: 2.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 1.91%(65%) Average negative next day return: -1.45%(35%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 2.84%(59%) Average negative next three day return: -1.85%(41%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 3.77%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.31%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160528

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_28_2016	39.19	37.93	37.68	35.89	35.91	35.6	34.93(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-54	-60	-32	-120	9.84	31%	-0.2	-65.3	2.01%	0	-2	39	INF
2	Apr_27_2016	39.27	38.18	38.2	36.68	36.24	35.84	35.65(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-52	-110	-45	-74	12.31	32%	-0.18	-58.4	2.05%	0	-1.8	44	INF
3	Apr_26_2016	39.34	38.41	38.54	37.56	37.1	36.22	35.85(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-44	-200	-48	-32	14.69	34%	-0.23	-49.3	2.05%	0	-1.9	41	INF
4	Apr_25_2016	39.43	38.63	38.8	38.42	38.17	36.64	35.93(-3.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-48	-300	-64	-0	12.67	32%	-0.2	-43.1	2.07%	0	-2.2	42	INF
5	Apr_22_2016	39.51	38.83	39.02	39.18	39.05	37.99	37.11(-4.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-42	-200	-65	28	20.94	34%	-0.13	-39.9	2.07%	0	-1.6	45	INF

6	Apr_21_2016	39.56	38.95	39.08	39.71	39.8	39.69	38.85(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10	-19	66	10.78	37%	-0.1	-35.9	1.99%	0	-0.1	55	INF
7	Apr_20_2016	39.6	39.04	38.94	39.93	39.97	40.12	40.07(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	30	13	73	5.02	39%	-0.05	-30.1	1.96%	0	0.9	49	INF
8	Apr_19_2016	39.62	39.09	38.71	39.68	39.85	39.92	40.15(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	30	20	48	6.65	39%	0	-31.3	1.97%	0	0.9	46	INF
9	Apr_18_2016	39.62	39.17	38.47	39.26	39.43	39.83	39.74(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	80	20	14	5.25	39%	0	-33.4	1.96%	0	0.4	43	INF
10	Apr_15_2016	39.62	39.28	38.3	38.83	38.97	39.78	39.73(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	27	160	39	-8	6.98	36%	0	-35.4	1.98%	0	0.3	48	INF

11	Apr_14_2016	39.62	39.32	38.15	38.36	38.45	39.03	39.98(3.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	24	110	43	-33	10.13	36%	0	-42.1	2.06%	0	0.4	53	INF
12	Apr_13_2016	39.62	39.37	38.09	37.82	37.88	38.16	38.79(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	60	16	-74	12.49	29%	-0.03	-49.1	2.02%	0	-0.4	34	INF
13	Apr_12_2016	39.63	39.47	38.2	37.62	37.63	37.87	38.06(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	50	8	-93	6.43	32%	-0.08	-48.9	2.09%	0	-0.9	24	INF
14	Apr_11_2016	39.66	39.63	38.4	37.57	37.58	37.6	37.61(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-26	0	2	-111	7.93	32%	-0.1	-48.8	2.1%	0	-1.3	17	INF
15	Apr_8_2016	39.7	39.82	38.61	37.69	37.6	37.39	37.39(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-50	-13	-129	6.09	32%	-0.1	-45.9	2.11%	0	-1.5	15	INF

16	Apr_7_2016	39.74	39.98	38.81	37.89	37.88	37.55	37.25(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-60	-23	-137	8.21	32%	-0.08	-47.1	2.11%	0	-1.9	29	INF
17	Apr_6_2016	39.77	40.16	39.16	38.4	38.19	37.82	37.78(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-80	-29	-123	5.65	32%	-0.08	-42	2.12%	0	-1.8	30	INF
18	Apr_5_2016	39.8	40.26	39.53	38.88	38.78	38.21	37.8(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-47	-110	-28	-102	7.65	32%	-0.1	-39.5	2.13%	0	-2.1	32	INF
19	Apr_4_2016	39.84	40.43	39.96	39.35	39.41	38.56	38.23(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-44	-150	-31	-81	7.83	30%	-0.1	-28.5	2.13%	0	-2.1	32	INF
20	Apr_1_2016	39.88	40.55	40.36	39.65	39.77	39.36	38.38(-3.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-38	-60	-29	-63	11.24	30%	-0.13	-20.3	2.17%	0	-2.4	33	INF

21	Mar_31_2016	39.93	40.68	40.63	39.84	40.04	40.27	39.82(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	60	-2	-44	8.14	32%	-0.08	-14.8	2.14%	0	-1.1	48	INF
22	Mar_30_2016	39.96	40.72	40.76	40.02	40	40.18	40.18(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	30	-0	-33	6.08	32%	-0.08	-3.3	2.14%	0	-0.7	50	INF
23	Mar_29_2016	39.99	40.74	40.84	40.29	40.16	39.82	40.16(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-70	-14	-22	6.79	32%	-0.07	15.4	2.15%	0	-0.8	57	INF
24	Mar_28_2016	40.02	40.73	40.96	40.7	40.48	39.83	39.73(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-29	-130	-35	-12	6.4	32%	-0.22	32.1	2.15%	0	-1.3	45	INF
25	Mar_24_2016	40.11	40.74	41.13	41.19	41.1	40.5	39.33(-3.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.5	-17	-110	-27	15	12.52	32%		57.1	2.15%	0	-1.9	46	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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