Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $36.9370 (-3.91%) ($36.4721 - $38.5349) on Thu. Jan. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.97% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $36.9370(-3.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Rotation from growth to value for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(84%)    PEJ(64%)    IWN(55%)    XLI(55%)    XAR(54%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.985% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.985% (StdDev 1.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $33.1(-10.39%)
Resistance Level   $38.94
5 Day Moving Average   $38.06(-2.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.1(-3.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.94(-5.14%)
To recent high   -18%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $18.785b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 2.7% (three month std-dev: 1.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.36%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.39%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.63%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.74%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.51%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.44%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_28_2016	41.06	38.94	38.1	38.06	38.12	38.18	36.94(-3.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	20	-17	-62	17.11	33%	-0.05	-88.5	1.97%	0	-1.9	41	0
2	Jan_27_2016	41.08	39.19	38.3	38.38	38.44	38.34	38.44(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10	14	-45	10.19	36%	-0.02	-73.3	1.92%	0	-0.7	42	0
3	Jan_26_2016	41.09	39.36	38.5	38.26	38.23	38.07	38.39(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-30	-5	-49	8.1	36%	-0.07	-59.8	1.92%	0	-0.8	47	0
4	Jan_25_2016	41.12	39.55	38.62	38.11	38.05	38.54	37.65(-3.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-9	90	5	-51	10.11	33%	-0.05	-54.7	1.92%	0	-1.4	41	0
5	Jan_22_2016	41.14	39.76	38.78	38.09	37.97	38.4	38.89(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	70	24	-61	7.25	42%	-0.02	-57	1.88%	0	-0.6	39	0

6	Jan_21_2016	41.15	39.89	38.8	38.16	37.7	37.57	38.53(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-60	-4	-83	9.78	42%	-0.02	-49.9	1.94%	0	-0.9	35	0
7	Jan_20_2016	41.16	40.02	38.93	38.22	37.92	37.54	37.83(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-52	-90	-33	-109	16.09	42%	0	-46.3	1.93%	0	-1.4	29	0
8	Jan_19_2016	41.16	40.13	39.08	38.79	38.59	37.83	37.63(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-51	-150	-33	-105	10.51	42%	0.1	-41	1.93%	0	-1.7	30	0
9	Jan_15_2016	41.12	40.32	39.3	39.22	39.17	38.31	37.54(-4.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-58	-160	-41	-110	18.92	42%	0	-42.5	1.94%	0	-2.1	28	0
10	Jan_14_2016	41.12	40.54	39.65	39.53	39.57	39.35	39.27(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-40	-20	-99	11.76	46%	0.02	-43.3	1.87%	0	-1.1	36	0

11	Jan_13_2016	41.11	40.64	39.85	39.51	39.73	40.03	38.84(-4.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-22	70	2	-94	12.72	46%	0.07	-52	1.87%	0	-1.6	37	0
12	Jan_12_2016	41.08	40.64	40.17	39.73	39.6	39.8	40.68(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	30	22	-74	12.64	57%	0.1	-66.9	1.79%	0	-0.1	48	0
13	Jan_11_2016	41.04	40.74	40.27	39.45	39.42	39.42	39.78(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	-0	1	-81	15.88	54%	0.05	-85.2	1.81%	0	-0.9	52	0
14	Jan_8_2016	41.02	40.88	40.52	39.41	39.44	39.41	39.1(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-0	-11	-72	8.85	61%	-0.05	-86.2	1.99%	0	-1.7	41	0
15	Jan_7_2016	41.04	41.04	40.81	39.8	39.5	39.42	39.17(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-40	-19	-60	11.31	64%	-0.07	-77.9	1.99%	0	-1.8	38	0

16	Jan_6_2016	41.07	41.24	41.06	40.25	39.9	39.48	39.93(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-100	-22	-42	12.39	57%	-0.05	-66.4	2.01%	0	-1.4	45	0
17	Jan_5_2016	41.09	41.46	41.19	40.69	40.48	39.58	39.24(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-36	-170	-39	-27	10.51	61%	-0.07	-33.3	2.11%	0	-2.2	47	0
18	Jan_4_2016	41.12	41.67	41.28	41.22	41.1	40.33	39.62(-3.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-38	-140	-45	-16	12.04	61%	-0.05	-4.9	2.16%	0	-1.9	46	0
19	Dec_31_2015	41.14	41.8	41.45	41.78	41.71	41.38	41.01(-1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-14	-60	-20	6	6.81	65%	0	17.5	2.13%	0	-0.8	42	0
20	Dec_30_2015	41.14	41.87	41.54	41.96	42.01	41.88	41.45(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-20	-3	18	5.46	65%	0	33.9	2.12%	0	-0.4	46	0

21	Dec_29_2015	41.14	41.9	41.52	41.98	41.97	42.03	42.13(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	10	4	10	4.01	65%	0.05	39.4	2.12%	0	0.2	44	0
22	Dec_28_2015	41.12	41.8	41.35	41.76	41.82	42.15	41.87(-1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	11	60	20	-16	4.15	61%	0.05	27.8	2.11%	0	0.1	38	0
23	Dec_24_2015	41.1	41.73	41.35	41.35	41.44	41.92	42.43(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	90	23	-47	3.31	58%	0.02	14.4	2.12%	0	0.6	44	0
24	Dec_23_2015	41.09	41.61	41.24	41.09	40.92	41.5	41.92(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	90	13	-57	6.09	58%	0.02	6.6	2.14%	0	0.3	51	0
25	Dec_22_2015	41.08	41.52	41.26	41.07	40.94	40.97	41.54(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-0	15	-59	5.7	54%		2.3	2.14%	0	0	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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