Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 29, 2015

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $44.3179 (0%) ($43.6898 - $44.5498) on Thu. Oct. 29, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.35% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $44.3179(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(84%)    PEJ(64%)    IWN(55%)    XLF(55%)    XLI(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.175% (StdDev 2.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.52(-0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.88(1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.07(5.34%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   22.3%
Market Cap   $22.538b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 6.28% (three month std-dev: 2.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.13%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.4%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 9.98%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.09%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 14.25%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.68%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151129

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_29_2015	40.06	42.07	43.88	44.52	44.4	44.27	44.32(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-30	-6	69	5.23	56%	0.12	64.6	2.35%	0	0.9	71	0
2	Oct_28_2015	40.01	41.75	43.75	44.54	44.36	44.56	44.32(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	20	8	103	7.63	57%	0.15	62.1	2.35%	0	0.9	79	0
3	Oct_27_2015	39.95	41.42	43.55	44.24	44.22	44.53	44.9(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	50	19	124	6.82	57%	0.18	55.1	2.36%	0	1.3	84	0
4	Oct_26_2015	39.88	41.06	43.26	43.92	43.79	44.17	44.91(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	49	50	17	145	11.03	57%	0.1	49.6	2.36%	0	1.4	86	0
5	Oct_23_2015	39.84	40.7	42.99	43.53	43.52	43.91	44.13(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	60	21	148	20.28	54%	0.1	41	2.52%	0	1.4	70	0

6	Oct_22_2015	39.8	40.42	42.68	43.15	43.16	43.4	44.44(3.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	40	16	157	14.44	54%	0.08	32.7	2.54%	0	1.7	75	0
7	Oct_21_2015	39.77	40.13	42.1	42.85	42.76	43.13	42.82(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	44	50	7	154	6.94	52%	0	24.6	2.5%	0	1.2	69	0
8	Oct_20_2015	39.77	39.97	41.64	42.75	42.67	42.93	43.28(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	54	40	18	163	7.61	52%	0.03	20.7	2.5%	0	1.5	72	0
9	Oct_19_2015	39.76	39.77	41.03	42.49	42.46	42.39	42.96(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10	5	147	8.93	52%	0.05	15.1	2.51%	0	1.6	69	0
10	Oct_16_2015	39.74	39.68	40.61	42.37	42.23	42.41	42.24(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	42	20	4	154	11.57	52%	0.05	15.9	2.51%	0	1.3	68	0

11	Oct_15_2015	39.72	39.65	40.13	42.12	42.13	42.53	42.97(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	70	35	153	8.19	52%	0.05	15.4	2.5%	0	1.7	64	0
12	Oct_14_2015	39.7	39.59	39.61	41.21	41.46	42.05	42.33(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	120	37	119	11.13	52%	0.05	9.1	2.5%	0	1.4	62	0
13	Oct_13_2015	39.68	39.53	39.11	40.34	40.38	41.73	41.95(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	59	240	51	82	13.25	53%	0.08	1.3	2.5%	0	1.3	56	0
14	Oct_12_2015	39.65	39.47	38.68	39.32	39.31	40.86	42.37(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	58	280	63	41	11.44	53%	0.03	-10	2.52%	0	1.6	58	0
15	Oct_9_2015	39.64	39.37	38.18	38.61	38.32	39.03	40.99(6.74%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	31	110	45	-13	16.84	54%	0	-17.8	2.53%	0	0.9	44	0

16	Oct_8_2015	39.64	39.34	37.93	37.88	37.89	37.76	38.4(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	-20	8	-74	8.31	47%	-0.08	-27	2.39%	0	-0.6	32	0
17	Oct_7_2015	39.67	39.41	37.96	37.78	37.89	37.62	37.99(3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-10	-6	-104	10.51	49%	-0.2	-29.8	2.43%	0	-0.8	28	0
18	Oct_6_2015	39.75	39.5	38.13	37.68	37.64	38.02	36.85(-5.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-26	70	4	-115	13.03	47%	-0.28	-28	2.41%	0	-1.6	28	0
19	Oct_5_2015	39.86	39.65	38.43	37.89	37.57	37.66	38.84(4.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	-10	15	-116	9.42	50%	-0.2	-21.1	2.34%	0	-0.5	37	0
20	Oct_2_2015	39.94	39.68	38.68	37.67	37.48	37.25	37.33(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-60	-15	-135	12.28	47%	-0.25	-19.6	2.3%	0	-1.5	29	0

21	Oct_1_2015	40.04	39.8	39.14	37.98	37.74	37.47	37.88(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-70	-16	-119	9.18	45%	-0.22	-9.8	2.3%	0	-1.3	32	0
22	Sep_30_2015	40.13	39.92	39.58	38.19	38.18	37.71	37.52(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-90	-22	-100	15.82	45%	-0.25	2	2.32%	0	-1.7	39	0
23	Sep_29_2015	40.23	39.97	40	38.65	38.6	38	37.86(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-110	-28	-76	7.48	42%	-0.25	17.4	2.32%	0	-1.6	42	0
24	Sep_28_2015	40.33	39.97	40.35	39.04	39.07	38.64	37.77(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-42	-70	-37	-56	9.64	42%	-0.25	29.7	2.37%	0	-1.6	43	0
25	Sep_25_2015	40.43	39.98	40.69	39.84	39.69	39.21	38.89(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-100	-28	-17	7.52	44%		41.9	2.36%	0	-0.8	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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