Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $41.9503 (-0.98%) ($41.0902 - $42.4915) on Tue. Oct. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.5% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $41.9503(-0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(84%)    PEJ(64%)    IWN(55%)    XLI(55%)    XAR(54%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.25% (StdDev 2.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.34(3.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.11(7.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.53(6.12%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   15.8%
Market Cap   $21.334b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 4.71% (three month std-dev: 2.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_13_2015	39.68	39.53	39.11	40.34	40.38	41.73	41.95(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	59	240	51	82	13.25	53%	0.08	1.3	2.5%	0	1.3	56	INF
2	Oct_12_2015	39.65	39.47	38.68	39.32	39.31	40.86	42.37(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	58	280	63	41	11.44	53%	0.03	-10	2.52%	0	1.6	58	INF
3	Oct_9_2015	39.64	39.37	38.18	38.61	38.32	39.03	40.99(6.74%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	31	110	45	-13	16.84	54%	0	-17.8	2.53%	0	0.9	44	INF
4	Oct_8_2015	39.64	39.34	37.93	37.88	37.89	37.76	38.4(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	-20	8	-74	8.31	47%	-0.08	-27	2.39%	0	-0.6	32	INF
5	Oct_7_2015	39.67	39.41	37.96	37.78	37.89	37.62	37.99(3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-10	-6	-104	10.51	49%	-0.2	-29.8	2.43%	0	-0.8	28	INF

6	Oct_6_2015	39.75	39.5	38.13	37.68	37.64	38.02	36.85(-5.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-26	70	4	-115	13.03	47%	-0.28	-28	2.41%	0	-1.6	28	INF
7	Oct_5_2015	39.86	39.65	38.43	37.89	37.57	37.66	38.84(4.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	-10	15	-116	9.42	50%	-0.2	-21.1	2.34%	0	-0.5	37	INF
8	Oct_2_2015	39.94	39.68	38.68	37.67	37.48	37.25	37.33(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-60	-15	-135	12.28	47%	-0.25	-19.6	2.3%	0	-1.5	29	INF
9	Oct_1_2015	40.04	39.8	39.14	37.98	37.74	37.47	37.88(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-70	-16	-119	9.18	45%	-0.22	-9.8	2.3%	0	-1.3	32	INF
10	Sep_30_2015	40.13	39.92	39.58	38.19	38.18	37.71	37.52(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-90	-22	-100	15.82	45%	-0.25	2	2.32%	0	-1.7	39	INF

11	Sep_29_2015	40.23	39.97	40	38.65	38.6	38	37.86(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-110	-28	-76	7.48	42%	-0.25	17.4	2.32%	0	-1.6	42	INF
12	Sep_28_2015	40.33	39.97	40.35	39.04	39.07	38.64	37.77(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-42	-70	-37	-56	9.64	42%	-0.25	29.7	2.37%	0	-1.6	43	INF
13	Sep_25_2015	40.43	39.98	40.69	39.84	39.69	39.21	38.89(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-100	-28	-17	7.52	44%	-0.2	41.9	2.36%	0	-0.8	52	INF
14	Sep_24_2015	40.51	39.94	40.9	40.47	40.4	39.5	38.9(-2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-27	-160	-38	8	10.51	44%	-0.17	43.9	2.36%	0	-0.7	49	INF
15	Sep_23_2015	40.58	39.89	41.02	41.19	41.11	40.17	39.85(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-21	-170	-39	33	8.25	46%	-0.15	42.4	2.34%	0	-0	50	INF

16	Sep_22_2015	40.64	39.73	41.03	41.55	41.72	41.29	39.8(-4.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-2	-60	-24	63	12.48	49%	-0.17	28.5	2.35%	0	0	65	INF
17	Sep_21_2015	40.71	39.58	41.02	41.83	41.9	42.04	41.78(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	30	5	99	6.69	52%	-0.15	15.9	2.31%	0	1.2	79	INF
18	Sep_18_2015	40.77	39.4	40.77	41.64	41.65	42.15	42.03(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	80	18	110	12.45	55%	-0.12	6.1	2.36%	0	1.5	83	INF
19	Sep_17_2015	40.82	39.3	40.52	41.39	41.32	41.75	42.51(2.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	52	70	30	119	12.84	55%	-0.1	0.5	2.35%	0	1.9	81	INF
20	Sep_16_2015	40.86	39.3	40.26	40.85	40.83	41.15	41.61(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	42	50	18	113	7.7	55%	-0.2	-5.8	2.34%	0	1.4	80	INF

21	Sep_15_2015	40.94	39.25	39.89	40.45	40.49	40.89	41.21(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	42	70	19	112	7.01	55%	-0.22	-10	2.35%	0	1.1	83	INF
22	Sep_14_2015	41.03	39.28	39.54	40.09	40.2	40.51	40.87(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	42	60	19	109	7.36	55%	-0.24	-9.7	2.36%	0	0.9	81	INF
23	Sep_11_2015	41.13	39.28	39.19	39.77	39.93	40.08	40.73(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	40	13	90	8.64	55%	-0.22	-11.3	2.37%	0	0.8	61	INF
24	Sep_10_2015	41.22	39.29	38.88	39.52	39.68	39.88	39.82(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	50	1	61	9.18	55%	-0.24	-13.9	2.35%	0	0.3	45	INF
25	Sep_9_2015	41.32	39.35	38.66	39.58	39.69	39.78	39.62(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	23	20	16	43	12.48	55%		-13.6	2.35%	0	0.1	38	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.