Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 31, 2015

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $37.6693 (0.93%) ($37.3214 - $38.4230) on Mon. Aug. 31, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.37% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $37.6693(0.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(84%)    PEJ(64%)    IWN(55%)    XLI(55%)    XAR(54%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.185% (StdDev 2.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $28.57(-24.16%)
Resistance Level   $39.78
5 Day Moving Average   $37.3(0.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.51(-2.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.78(-5.31%)
To recent high   -11.6%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $19.157b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 4.9% (three month std-dev: 2.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_31_2015	41.83	39.78	38.51	37.3	37.49	37.62	37.67(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-26	40	8	-129	12.41	50%	-0.19	-30.6	2.37%	0	-1.1	33	0
2	Aug_28_2015	41.91	39.91	38.96	37.04	37.36	37.58	37.32(-1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	70	6	-128	11.82	50%	-0.21	-32.1	2.37%	0	-1.4	38	0
3	Aug_27_2015	42	40	39.37	37.25	36.89	37.35	37.72(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-42	60	-14	-124	13.79	50%	-0.21	-29.3	2.37%	0	-1.2	41	0
4	Aug_26_2015	42.09	40.08	39.73	37.82	37.3	37.14	37.54(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-70	-17	-105	15.68	49%	-0.21	-27.4	2.37%	0	-1.4	37	0
5	Aug_25_2015	42.18	40.18	40.1	38.73	38.3	36.42	36.24(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-72	-380	-63	-97	12.82	46%	-0.24	-16	2.35%	0	-2.3	27	0

6	Aug_24_2015	42.28	40.38	40.64	39.91	39.55	37.46	36.36(-5.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-96	-400	-104	-73	19.61	46%	-0.14	4.7	2.37%	0	-2.7	29	0
7	Aug_21_2015	42.34	40.53	41.08	41.14	41.22	40.18	38.41(-5.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-43	-170	-54	-10	16.24	50%	-0.21	31.3	2.27%	0	-1.7	44	0
8	Aug_20_2015	42.43	40.55	41.3	41.74	41.9	41.63	40.57(-3.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	-30	-18	37	8.91	47%	-0.19	41.2	2.18%	0	0	64	0
9	Aug_19_2015	42.51	40.57	41.33	41.87	41.94	42.27	42.07(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	60	8	58	8.37	47%	-0.21	49	2.47%	0	1.2	73	0
10	Aug_18_2015	42.6	40.46	41.25	41.68	41.73	42.17	42.16(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	80	20	69	6.32	47%	-0.21	46	2.49%	0	1.5	69	0

11	Aug_17_2015	42.69	40.31	41.15	41.5	41.3	41.61	42.47(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	40	18	72	8.39	47%	-0.21	39.3	2.49%	0	1.9	66	0
12	Aug_14_2015	42.78	40.14	40.91	41.06	41.04	41.28	41.44(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	40	14	66	4.86	45%	-0.19	23.8	2.47%	0	1.3	68	0
13	Aug_13_2015	42.86	40.06	40.65	40.79	40.83	40.98	41.24(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	30	8	58	6.61	45%	-0.21	18.3	2.47%	0	1.2	70	0
14	Aug_12_2015	42.95	39.98	40.42	40.7	40.63	40.8	41.09(-0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	9	20	-1	40	10.43	45%	-0.26	24.3	2.47%	0	1.2	49	0
15	Aug_11_2015	43.06	39.92	40.24	40.76	40.77	40.69	41.26(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10	4	42	10.38	45%	-0.25	38.2	2.48%	0	1.5	55	0

16	Aug_10_2015	43.17	39.88	40.08	40.75	40.88	40.45	40.28(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-60	-10	38	6.86	45%	-0.32	46.2	2.46%	0	0.5	55	0
17	Aug_7_2015	43.31	39.9	39.93	40.74	40.99	40.86	40.09(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	10	-0	-0	40	5.59	49%	-0.3	60.1	2.46%	0	0.2	55	0
18	Aug_6_2015	43.44	39.88	39.75	40.45	40.75	41.31	40.76(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	120	19	29	7.4	49%	-0.28	58.1	2.51%	0	0.9	54	0
19	Aug_5_2015	43.56	39.76	39.76	40.07	40.15	41.12	41.42(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	33	180	34	29	7.58	46%	-0.23	47.6	2.51%	0	1.7	56	0
20	Aug_4_2015	43.66	39.58	39.59	39.64	39.55	40.2	41.21(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	26	110	31	12	13.35	46%	-0.16	36.2	2.55%	0	1.8	55	0

21	Aug_3_2015	43.73	39.48	39.39	39.33	39.19	39.17	40.21(4.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	-10	12	-11	9.26	46%	-0.18	33.2	2.53%	0	0.8	48	0
22	Jul_31_2015	43.81	39.38	39.27	39.03	39.12	38.9	38.66(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-30	-3	-38	6.96	45%	-0.18	15.7	2.49%	0	-0.8	38	0
23	Jul_30_2015	43.89	39.34	39.4	38.94	39.03	39.2	38.83(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	40	-15	-45	5.86	45%	-0.16	-2.9	2.51%	0	-0.5	47	0
24	Jul_29_2015	43.96	39.29	39.51	39.39	39.25	39.35	39.27(-1.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	10	2	-15	6.8	42%	-0.14	-4.6	2.51%	0	-0	57	0
25	Jul_28_2015	44.02	39.25	39.59	39.53	39.71	38.85	39.69(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-140	-6	-3	8.19	42%		-12.7	2.57%	0	0.4	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.