Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $41.0902 (-0.42%) ($39.3121 - $41.2448) on Wed. Aug. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.47% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $41.0902(-0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(84%)    PEJ(64%)    XLI(55%)    XAR(54%)    XLF(54%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.235% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.235% (StdDev 2.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.7(0.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.42(1.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.98(2.78%)
To recent high   -13%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $20.897b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 2.3% (three month std-dev: 2.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.98%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.95%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.48%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150912

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2015	42.95	39.98	40.42	40.7	40.63	40.8	41.09(-0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	9	20	-1	40	10.43	45%	-0.26	24.3	2.47%	0	1.2	49	INF
2	Aug_11_2015	43.06	39.92	40.24	40.76	40.77	40.69	41.26(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10	4	42	10.38	45%	-0.25	38.2	2.48%	0	1.5	55	INF
3	Aug_10_2015	43.17	39.88	40.08	40.75	40.88	40.45	40.28(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-60	-10	38	6.86	45%	-0.32	46.2	2.46%	0	0.5	55	INF
4	Aug_7_2015	43.31	39.9	39.93	40.74	40.99	40.86	40.09(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	10	-0	-0	40	5.59	49%	-0.3	60.1	2.46%	0	0.2	55	INF
5	Aug_6_2015	43.44	39.88	39.75	40.45	40.75	41.31	40.76(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	120	19	29	7.4	49%	-0.28	58.1	2.51%	0	0.9	54	INF

6	Aug_5_2015	43.56	39.76	39.76	40.07	40.15	41.12	41.42(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	33	180	34	29	7.58	46%	-0.23	47.6	2.51%	0	1.7	56	INF
7	Aug_4_2015	43.66	39.58	39.59	39.64	39.55	40.2	41.21(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	26	110	31	12	13.35	46%	-0.16	36.2	2.55%	0	1.8	55	INF
8	Aug_3_2015	43.73	39.48	39.39	39.33	39.19	39.17	40.21(4.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	-10	12	-11	9.26	46%	-0.18	33.2	2.53%	0	0.8	48	INF
9	Jul_31_2015	43.81	39.38	39.27	39.03	39.12	38.9	38.66(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-30	-3	-38	6.96	45%	-0.18	15.7	2.49%	0	-0.8	38	INF
10	Jul_30_2015	43.89	39.34	39.4	38.94	39.03	39.2	38.83(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	40	-15	-45	5.86	45%	-0.16	-2.9	2.51%	0	-0.5	47	INF

11	Jul_29_2015	43.96	39.29	39.51	39.39	39.25	39.35	39.27(-1.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	10	2	-15	6.8	42%	-0.14	-4.6	2.51%	0	-0	57	INF
12	Jul_28_2015	44.02	39.25	39.59	39.53	39.71	38.85	39.69(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-140	-6	-3	8.19	42%	-0.14	-12.7	2.57%	0	0.4	61	INF
13	Jul_27_2015	44.08	39.19	39.66	39.47	39.83	39.15	38.7(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-90	-32	-8	12.07	40%	-0.18	-27	2.54%	0	-0.5	49	INF
14	Jul_24_2015	44.16	39.25	39.88	39.55	40.05	40.56	38.21(-6.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	1	130	-5	20	20.15	42%	-0.18	-25.6	2.54%	0	-1	52	INF
15	Jul_23_2015	44.24	39.37	40.06	39.89	39.99	40.51	41.08(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	100	29	59	16.58	46%	-0.16	-7.9	2.42%	0	1.6	68	INF

16	Jul_22_2015	44.31	39.34	39.78	39.66	39.67	39.55	39.94(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-20	0	46	8.3	44%	-0.16	-4.8	2.39%	0	0.6	66	INF
17	Jul_21_2015	44.38	39.38	39.59	39.68	39.78	39.46	39.43(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-50	-13	40	7.3	47%	-0.16	8.4	2.38%	0	0	56	INF
18	Jul_20_2015	44.45	39.48	39.57	39.9	39.92	39.79	39.1(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-20	-16	52	7.65	49%	-0.16	23.3	2.42%	0	-0.3	55	INF
19	Jul_17_2015	44.52	39.52	39.51	40.26	40.13	40.09	39.91(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-20	-1	63	9.74	49%	-0.18	35	2.45%	0	0.3	49	INF
20	Jul_16_2015	44.6	39.46	39.3	40.23	40.32	40.04	39.91(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-40	6	48	12.11	49%	-0.18	34.1	2.45%	0	0.4	45	INF

21	Jul_15_2015	44.68	39.39	39.06	39.9	40.15	40.18	40.05(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	20	5	17	17.92	49%	-0.2	24.6	2.45%	0	0.5	46	INF
22	Jul_14_2015	44.77	39.29	38.9	39.47	39.78	40.6	40.55(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	15	170	22	-6	12.7	49%	-0.2	12	2.45%	0	1	45	INF
23	Jul_13_2015	44.86	39.19	38.66	39.2	39.25	40.12	40.9(2.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	24	160	41	-26	12.08	49%	-0.2	7.2	2.45%	0	1.4	45	INF
24	Jul_10_2015	44.95	39.1	38.52	38.68	38.74	38.96	39.73(3.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	40	26	-52	16.45	47%	-0.18	-8.2	2.42%	0	0.5	48	INF
25	Jul_9_2015	45.03	39.04	38.59	38.26	38.38	38.38	38.25(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-15	10	3	-67	8.49	44%		-25.9	2.36%	0	-0.7	51	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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