Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 7, 2015

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $40.0949 (-1.64%) ($40.0079 - $41.0516) on Fri. Aug. 7, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.46% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $40.0949(-1.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(84%)    PEJ(64%)    XLI(55%)    XAR(54%)    XLF(54%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.23% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.23% (StdDev 2.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.74(-1.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.93(0.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.9(0.49%)
To recent high   -16.2%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $20.391b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 2.18% (three month std-dev: 2.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150907

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_7_2015	43.31	39.9	39.93	40.74	40.99	40.86	40.09(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	10	-0	-0	40	5.59	49%	-0.3	60.1	2.46%	0	0.2	55	0
2	Aug_6_2015	43.44	39.88	39.75	40.45	40.75	41.31	40.76(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	120	19	29	7.4	49%	-0.28	58.1	2.51%	0	0.9	54	0
3	Aug_5_2015	43.56	39.76	39.76	40.07	40.15	41.12	41.42(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	33	180	34	29	7.58	46%	-0.23	47.6	2.51%	0	1.7	56	0
4	Aug_4_2015	43.66	39.58	39.59	39.64	39.55	40.2	41.21(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	26	110	31	12	13.35	46%	-0.16	36.2	2.55%	0	1.8	55	0
5	Aug_3_2015	43.73	39.48	39.39	39.33	39.19	39.17	40.21(4.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	-10	12	-11	9.26	46%	-0.18	33.2	2.53%	0	0.8	48	0

6	Jul_31_2015	43.81	39.38	39.27	39.03	39.12	38.9	38.66(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-30	-3	-38	6.96	45%	-0.18	15.7	2.49%	0	-0.8	38	0
7	Jul_30_2015	43.89	39.34	39.4	38.94	39.03	39.2	38.83(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	40	-15	-45	5.86	45%	-0.16	-2.9	2.51%	0	-0.5	47	0
8	Jul_29_2015	43.96	39.29	39.51	39.39	39.25	39.35	39.27(-1.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	10	2	-15	6.8	42%	-0.14	-4.6	2.51%	0	-0	57	0
9	Jul_28_2015	44.02	39.25	39.59	39.53	39.71	38.85	39.69(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-140	-6	-3	8.19	42%	-0.14	-12.7	2.57%	0	0.4	61	0
10	Jul_27_2015	44.08	39.19	39.66	39.47	39.83	39.15	38.7(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-90	-32	-8	12.07	40%	-0.18	-27	2.54%	0	-0.5	49	0

11	Jul_24_2015	44.16	39.25	39.88	39.55	40.05	40.56	38.21(-6.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	1	130	-5	20	20.15	42%	-0.18	-25.6	2.54%	0	-1	52	0
12	Jul_23_2015	44.24	39.37	40.06	39.89	39.99	40.51	41.08(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	100	29	59	16.58	46%	-0.16	-7.9	2.42%	0	1.6	68	0
13	Jul_22_2015	44.31	39.34	39.78	39.66	39.67	39.55	39.94(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-20	0	46	8.3	44%	-0.16	-4.8	2.39%	0	0.6	66	0
14	Jul_21_2015	44.38	39.38	39.59	39.68	39.78	39.46	39.43(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-50	-13	40	7.3	47%	-0.16	8.4	2.38%	0	0	56	0
15	Jul_20_2015	44.45	39.48	39.57	39.9	39.92	39.79	39.1(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-20	-16	52	7.65	49%	-0.16	23.3	2.42%	0	-0.3	55	0

16	Jul_17_2015	44.52	39.52	39.51	40.26	40.13	40.09	39.91(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-20	-1	63	9.74	49%	-0.18	35	2.45%	0	0.3	49	0
17	Jul_16_2015	44.6	39.46	39.3	40.23	40.32	40.04	39.91(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-40	6	48	12.11	49%	-0.18	34.1	2.45%	0	0.4	45	0
18	Jul_15_2015	44.68	39.39	39.06	39.9	40.15	40.18	40.05(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	20	5	17	17.92	49%	-0.2	24.6	2.45%	0	0.5	46	0
19	Jul_14_2015	44.77	39.29	38.9	39.47	39.78	40.6	40.55(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	15	170	22	-6	12.7	49%	-0.2	12	2.45%	0	1	45	0
20	Jul_13_2015	44.86	39.19	38.66	39.2	39.25	40.12	40.9(2.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	24	160	41	-26	12.08	49%	-0.2	7.2	2.45%	0	1.4	45	0

21	Jul_10_2015	44.95	39.1	38.52	38.68	38.74	38.96	39.73(3.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	40	26	-52	16.45	47%	-0.18	-8.2	2.42%	0	0.5	48	0
22	Jul_9_2015	45.03	39.04	38.59	38.26	38.38	38.38	38.25(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-15	10	3	-67	8.49	44%	-0.22	-25.9	2.36%	0	-0.7	51	0
23	Jul_8_2015	45.13	39.08	38.82	38.09	38.19	38.52	37.9(-3.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-15	70	1	-62	11.19	46%	-0.18	-40.5	2.37%	0	-1	50	0
24	Jul_7_2015	45.21	39.14	39.13	38.21	38.19	38.38	39.22(2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	40	15	-35	10.38	48%	-0.13	-51.5	2.36%	0	0.1	58	0
25	Jul_6_2015	45.27	39.1	39.34	38.03	38.14	37.86	38.3(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-40	-11	-37	9.16	46%		-71.4	2.34%	0	-0.7	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.