Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $41.4188 (0.51%) ($41.0640 - $41.7466) on Wed. Aug. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.51% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $41.4188(0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(84%)    PEJ(64%)    XLI(55%)    XAR(54%)    XLF(54%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.255% (StdDev 2.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.07(3.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.76(4.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.76(4.17%)
To recent high   -13.5%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $21.064b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 2.52% (three month std-dev: 2.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.03%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.03%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.8%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -0.94%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 9.25%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.86%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2015	43.56	39.76	39.76	40.07	40.15	41.12	41.42(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	33	180	34	29	7.58	46%	-0.23	47.6	2.51%	0	1.7	56	0
2	Aug_4_2015	43.66	39.58	39.59	39.64	39.55	40.2	41.21(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	26	110	31	12	13.35	46%	-0.16	36.2	2.55%	0	1.8	55	0
3	Aug_3_2015	43.73	39.48	39.39	39.33	39.19	39.17	40.21(4.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	-10	12	-11	9.26	46%	-0.18	33.2	2.53%	0	0.8	48	0
4	Jul_31_2015	43.81	39.38	39.27	39.03	39.12	38.9	38.66(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-30	-3	-38	6.96	45%	-0.18	15.7	2.49%	0	-0.8	38	0
5	Jul_30_2015	43.89	39.34	39.4	38.94	39.03	39.2	38.83(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	40	-15	-45	5.86	45%	-0.16	-2.9	2.51%	0	-0.5	47	0

6	Jul_29_2015	43.96	39.29	39.51	39.39	39.25	39.35	39.27(-1.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	10	2	-15	6.8	42%	-0.14	-4.6	2.51%	0	-0	57	0
7	Jul_28_2015	44.02	39.25	39.59	39.53	39.71	38.85	39.69(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-140	-6	-3	8.19	42%	-0.14	-12.7	2.57%	0	0.4	61	0
8	Jul_27_2015	44.08	39.19	39.66	39.47	39.83	39.15	38.7(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-90	-32	-8	12.07	40%	-0.18	-27	2.54%	0	-0.5	49	0
9	Jul_24_2015	44.16	39.25	39.88	39.55	40.05	40.56	38.21(-6.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	1	130	-5	20	20.15	42%	-0.18	-25.6	2.54%	0	-1	52	0
10	Jul_23_2015	44.24	39.37	40.06	39.89	39.99	40.51	41.08(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	100	29	59	16.58	46%	-0.16	-7.9	2.42%	0	1.6	68	0

11	Jul_22_2015	44.31	39.34	39.78	39.66	39.67	39.55	39.94(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-20	0	46	8.3	44%	-0.16	-4.8	2.39%	0	0.6	66	0
12	Jul_21_2015	44.38	39.38	39.59	39.68	39.78	39.46	39.43(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-50	-13	40	7.3	47%	-0.16	8.4	2.38%	0	0	56	0
13	Jul_20_2015	44.45	39.48	39.57	39.9	39.92	39.79	39.1(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-20	-16	52	7.65	49%	-0.16	23.3	2.42%	0	-0.3	55	0
14	Jul_17_2015	44.52	39.52	39.51	40.26	40.13	40.09	39.91(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-20	-1	63	9.74	49%	-0.18	35	2.45%	0	0.3	49	0
15	Jul_16_2015	44.6	39.46	39.3	40.23	40.32	40.04	39.91(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-40	6	48	12.11	49%	-0.18	34.1	2.45%	0	0.4	45	0

16	Jul_15_2015	44.68	39.39	39.06	39.9	40.15	40.18	40.05(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	20	5	17	17.92	49%	-0.2	24.6	2.45%	0	0.5	46	0
17	Jul_14_2015	44.77	39.29	38.9	39.47	39.78	40.6	40.55(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	15	170	22	-6	12.7	49%	-0.2	12	2.45%	0	1	45	0
18	Jul_13_2015	44.86	39.19	38.66	39.2	39.25	40.12	40.9(2.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	24	160	41	-26	12.08	49%	-0.2	7.2	2.45%	0	1.4	45	0
19	Jul_10_2015	44.95	39.1	38.52	38.68	38.74	38.96	39.73(3.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	40	26	-52	16.45	47%	-0.18	-8.2	2.42%	0	0.5	48	0
20	Jul_9_2015	45.03	39.04	38.59	38.26	38.38	38.38	38.25(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-15	10	3	-67	8.49	44%	-0.22	-25.9	2.36%	0	-0.7	51	0

21	Jul_8_2015	45.13	39.08	38.82	38.09	38.19	38.52	37.9(-3.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-15	70	1	-62	11.19	46%	-0.18	-40.5	2.37%	0	-1	50	0
22	Jul_7_2015	45.21	39.14	39.13	38.21	38.19	38.38	39.22(2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	40	15	-35	10.38	48%	-0.13	-51.5	2.36%	0	0.1	58	0
23	Jul_6_2015	45.27	39.1	39.34	38.03	38.14	37.86	38.3(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-40	-11	-37	9.16	46%	-0.2	-71.4	2.34%	0	-0.7	50	0
24	Jul_2_2015	45.36	39.2	39.52	38.36	38.35	37.89	37.63(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-80	-34	-30	11.08	46%	-0.2	-66.1	2.34%	0	-1.3	43	0
25	Jul_1_2015	45.45	39.35	39.65	38.98	39.05	38.42	37.41(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-26	-110	-32	-7	24.91	43%		-49.8	2.35%	0	-1.6	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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