Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $39.9437 (1.3%) ($39.4905 - $40.1172) on Wed. Jul. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.39% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $39.9437(1.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(84%)    PEJ(64%)    XLI(55%)    XAR(54%)    XLF(54%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.195% (StdDev 2.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.66(0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.78(0.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.34(1.53%)
To recent high   -21.2%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $20.314b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 2.69% (three month std-dev: 2.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -10.98%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.87%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.87%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150822

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_22_2015	44.31	39.34	39.78	39.66	39.67	39.55	39.94(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-20	0	46	8.3	44%	-0.16	-4.8	2.39%	0	0.6	66	0
2	Jul_21_2015	44.38	39.38	39.59	39.68	39.78	39.46	39.43(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-50	-13	40	7.3	47%	-0.16	8.4	2.38%	0	0	56	0
3	Jul_20_2015	44.45	39.48	39.57	39.9	39.92	39.79	39.1(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-20	-16	52	7.65	49%	-0.16	23.3	2.42%	0	-0.3	55	0
4	Jul_17_2015	44.52	39.52	39.51	40.26	40.13	40.09	39.91(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-20	-1	63	9.74	49%	-0.18	35	2.45%	0	0.3	49	0
5	Jul_16_2015	44.6	39.46	39.3	40.23	40.32	40.04	39.91(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-40	6	48	12.11	49%	-0.18	34.1	2.45%	0	0.4	45	0

6	Jul_15_2015	44.68	39.39	39.06	39.9	40.15	40.18	40.05(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	20	5	17	17.92	49%	-0.2	24.6	2.45%	0	0.5	46	0
7	Jul_14_2015	44.77	39.29	38.9	39.47	39.78	40.6	40.55(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	15	170	22	-6	12.7	49%	-0.2	12	2.45%	0	1	45	0
8	Jul_13_2015	44.86	39.19	38.66	39.2	39.25	40.12	40.9(2.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	24	160	41	-26	12.08	49%	-0.2	7.2	2.45%	0	1.4	45	0
9	Jul_10_2015	44.95	39.1	38.52	38.68	38.74	38.96	39.73(3.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	40	26	-52	16.45	47%	-0.18	-8.2	2.42%	0	0.5	48	0
10	Jul_9_2015	45.03	39.04	38.59	38.26	38.38	38.38	38.25(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-15	10	3	-67	8.49	44%	-0.22	-25.9	2.36%	0	-0.7	51	0

11	Jul_8_2015	45.13	39.08	38.82	38.09	38.19	38.52	37.9(-3.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-15	70	1	-62	11.19	46%	-0.18	-40.5	2.37%	0	-1	50	0
12	Jul_7_2015	45.21	39.14	39.13	38.21	38.19	38.38	39.22(2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	40	15	-35	10.38	48%	-0.13	-51.5	2.36%	0	0.1	58	0
13	Jul_6_2015	45.27	39.1	39.34	38.03	38.14	37.86	38.3(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-40	-11	-37	9.16	46%	-0.2	-71.4	2.34%	0	-0.7	50	0
14	Jul_2_2015	45.36	39.2	39.52	38.36	38.35	37.89	37.63(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-80	-34	-30	11.08	46%	-0.2	-66.1	2.34%	0	-1.3	43	0
15	Jul_1_2015	45.45	39.35	39.65	38.98	39.05	38.42	37.41(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-26	-110	-32	-7	24.91	43%	-0.2	-49.8	2.35%	0	-1.6	47	0

16	Jun_30_2015	45.54	39.56	39.79	39.65	39.79	38.82	38.5(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-24	-160	-36	12	11.18	45%	-0.13	-31.3	2.37%	0	-0.8	49	0
17	Jun_29_2015	45.6	39.74	39.78	40.18	40.35	39.68	38.32(-4.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-27	-100	-44	25	17.65	45%	-0.18	-11.3	2.39%	0	-1	49	0
18	Jun_26_2015	45.68	39.94	39.84	40.82	40.96	40.77	39.95(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-20	-9	65	9.82	50%	-0.15	6.5	2.37%	0	0	61	0
19	Jun_25_2015	45.75	39.98	39.77	40.84	41.18	41.03	40.72(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-0	12	70	8.17	48%	-0.15	6.6	2.37%	0	0.6	51	0
20	Jun_24_2015	45.82	39.98	39.56	40.4	40.79	41.14	40.72(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	90	13	42	6.9	48%	-0.11	-6	2.4%	0	0.6	49	0

21	Jun_23_2015	45.87	39.96	39.37	39.95	40.17	41.33	41.19(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	220	42	23	10.7	48%	-0.13	-33.3	2.4%	0	0.9	45	0
22	Jun_22_2015	45.93	39.89	39.12	39.32	39.36	40.43	41.49(3.54%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	35	190	51	-14	15.12	48%	-0.13	-69.3	2.42%	0	1.2	43	0
23	Jun_19_2015	45.99	39.86	38.8	38.75	38.63	39.01	40.07(3.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	60	21	-71	20.2	45%	-0.22	-101.8	2.37%	0	0.2	34	0
24	Jun_18_2015	46.09	39.9	38.78	38.75	38.47	38.29	38.54(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-40	-0	-92	10.65	41%	-0.22	-124	2.33%	0	-1	38	0
25	Jun_17_2015	46.19	40.04	38.98	38.59	38.57	38.25	38.45(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-60	-14	-98	9.57	47%		-141.3	2.33%	0	-1.2	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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