Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $39.7316 (3.88%) ($39.0470 - $40.1461) on Fri. Jul. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.42% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $39.7316(3.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(84%)    PEJ(64%)    XLI(55%)    XAR(54%)    XLF(54%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.21% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.21% (StdDev 2.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.68(2.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.52(3.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.1(1.62%)
To recent high   -21.6%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $20.206b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 3.04% (three month std-dev: 2.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150810

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_10_2015	44.95	39.1	38.52	38.68	38.74	38.96	39.73(3.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	40	26	-52	16.45	47%	-0.18	-8.2	2.42%	0	0.5	48	0
2	Jul_9_2015	45.03	39.04	38.59	38.26	38.38	38.38	38.25(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-15	10	3	-67	8.49	44%	-0.22	-25.9	2.36%	0	-0.7	51	0
3	Jul_8_2015	45.13	39.08	38.82	38.09	38.19	38.52	37.9(-3.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-15	70	1	-62	11.19	46%	-0.18	-40.5	2.37%	0	-1	50	0
4	Jul_7_2015	45.21	39.14	39.13	38.21	38.19	38.38	39.22(2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	40	15	-35	10.38	48%	-0.13	-51.5	2.36%	0	0.1	58	0
5	Jul_6_2015	45.27	39.1	39.34	38.03	38.14	37.86	38.3(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-40	-11	-37	9.16	46%	-0.2	-71.4	2.34%	0	-0.7	50	0

6	Jul_2_2015	45.36	39.2	39.52	38.36	38.35	37.89	37.63(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-80	-34	-30	11.08	46%	-0.2	-66.1	2.34%	0	-1.3	43	0
7	Jul_1_2015	45.45	39.35	39.65	38.98	39.05	38.42	37.41(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-26	-110	-32	-7	24.91	43%	-0.2	-49.8	2.35%	0	-1.6	47	0
8	Jun_30_2015	45.54	39.56	39.79	39.65	39.79	38.82	38.5(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-24	-160	-36	12	11.18	45%	-0.13	-31.3	2.37%	0	-0.8	49	0
9	Jun_29_2015	45.6	39.74	39.78	40.18	40.35	39.68	38.32(-4.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-27	-100	-44	25	17.65	45%	-0.18	-11.3	2.39%	0	-1	49	0
10	Jun_26_2015	45.68	39.94	39.84	40.82	40.96	40.77	39.95(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-20	-9	65	9.82	50%	-0.15	6.5	2.37%	0	0	61	0

11	Jun_25_2015	45.75	39.98	39.77	40.84	41.18	41.03	40.72(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-0	12	70	8.17	48%	-0.15	6.6	2.37%	0	0.6	51	0
12	Jun_24_2015	45.82	39.98	39.56	40.4	40.79	41.14	40.72(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	90	13	42	6.9	48%	-0.11	-6	2.4%	0	0.6	49	0
13	Jun_23_2015	45.87	39.96	39.37	39.95	40.17	41.33	41.19(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	220	42	23	10.7	48%	-0.13	-33.3	2.4%	0	0.9	45	0
14	Jun_22_2015	45.93	39.89	39.12	39.32	39.36	40.43	41.49(3.54%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	35	190	51	-14	15.12	48%	-0.13	-69.3	2.42%	0	1.2	43	0
15	Jun_19_2015	45.99	39.86	38.8	38.75	38.63	39.01	40.07(3.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	60	21	-71	20.2	45%	-0.22	-101.8	2.37%	0	0.2	34	0

16	Jun_18_2015	46.09	39.9	38.78	38.75	38.47	38.29	38.54(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-40	-0	-92	10.65	41%	-0.22	-124	2.33%	0	-1	38	0
17	Jun_17_2015	46.19	40.04	38.98	38.59	38.57	38.25	38.45(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-60	-14	-98	9.57	47%	-0.28	-141.3	2.33%	0	-1.2	41	0
18	Jun_16_2015	46.32	40.41	39.27	38.7	38.81	38.65	38.06(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-20	-10	-83	9.21	47%	-0.32	-105.1	2.5%	0	-1.3	37	0
19	Jun_15_2015	46.47	40.84	39.67	38.86	38.94	38.89	38.63(-1.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	-0	2	-63	8.83	47%	-0.32	-85.1	2.51%	0	-1	44	0
20	Jun_12_2015	46.62	41.24	40.05	38.82	38.94	38.96	39.24(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	30	-5	-60	10.33	49%	-0.32	-77.7	2.51%	0	-0.8	42	0

21	Jun_11_2015	46.77	41.61	40.22	39.02	38.76	38.99	38.58(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	20	-4	-54	10.12	49%	-0.28	-70.3	2.53%	0	-1.1	39	0
22	Jun_10_2015	46.9	42.01	40.43	39.43	39.13	38.55	38.98(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-130	-17	-53	15.73	48%	-0.26	-63	2.53%	0	-1.1	38	0
23	Jun_9_2015	47.02	42.41	40.62	39.95	39.71	38.53	38.88(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-54	-230	-47	-76	27.02	48%	-0.17	-54.6	2.55%	0	-1.2	24	0
24	Jun_8_2015	47.1	42.86	40.76	40.62	40.62	39.72	38.43(-4.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-59	-160	-48	-92	25.76	48%	-0.21	-47.1	2.54%	0	-1.5	20	0
25	Jun_5_2015	47.2	43.3	41.05	41.45	41.39	40.88	40.22(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-90	-19	-87	9.95	51%		-41.7	2.49%	0	-1	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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