Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 25, 2015

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $40.7246 (0%) ($40.6860 - $41.8623) on Thu. Jun. 25, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.37% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $40.7246(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(84%)    PEJ(64%)    XLI(55%)    XAR(54%)    XLF(54%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.185% (StdDev 2.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.84(-0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.77(2.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.98(1.86%)
To recent high   -21.1%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $20.711b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 3.35% (three month std-dev: 2.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150725

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_25_2015	45.75	39.98	39.77	40.84	41.18	41.03	40.72(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-0	12	70	8.17	48%	-0.15	6.6	2.37%	0	0.6	51	0
2	Jun_24_2015	45.82	39.98	39.56	40.4	40.79	41.14	40.72(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	90	13	42	6.9	48%	-0.11	-6	2.4%	0	0.6	49	0
3	Jun_23_2015	45.87	39.96	39.37	39.95	40.17	41.33	41.19(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	220	42	23	10.7	48%	-0.13	-33.3	2.4%	0	0.9	45	0
4	Jun_22_2015	45.93	39.89	39.12	39.32	39.36	40.43	41.49(3.54%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	35	190	51	-14	15.12	48%	-0.13	-69.3	2.42%	0	1.2	43	0
5	Jun_19_2015	45.99	39.86	38.8	38.75	38.63	39.01	40.07(3.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	60	21	-71	20.2	45%	-0.22	-101.8	2.37%	0	0.2	34	0

6	Jun_18_2015	46.09	39.9	38.78	38.75	38.47	38.29	38.54(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-40	-0	-92	10.65	41%	-0.22	-124	2.33%	0	-1	38	0
7	Jun_17_2015	46.19	40.04	38.98	38.59	38.57	38.25	38.45(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-60	-14	-98	9.57	47%	-0.28	-141.3	2.33%	0	-1.2	41	0
8	Jun_16_2015	46.32	40.41	39.27	38.7	38.81	38.65	38.06(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-20	-10	-83	9.21	47%	-0.32	-105.1	2.5%	0	-1.3	37	0
9	Jun_15_2015	46.47	40.84	39.67	38.86	38.94	38.89	38.63(-1.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	-0	2	-63	8.83	47%	-0.32	-85.1	2.51%	0	-1	44	0
10	Jun_12_2015	46.62	41.24	40.05	38.82	38.94	38.96	39.24(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	30	-5	-60	10.33	49%	-0.32	-77.7	2.51%	0	-0.8	42	0

11	Jun_11_2015	46.77	41.61	40.22	39.02	38.76	38.99	38.58(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	20	-4	-54	10.12	49%	-0.28	-70.3	2.53%	0	-1.1	39	0
12	Jun_10_2015	46.9	42.01	40.43	39.43	39.13	38.55	38.98(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-130	-17	-53	15.73	48%	-0.26	-63	2.53%	0	-1.1	38	0
13	Jun_9_2015	47.02	42.41	40.62	39.95	39.71	38.53	38.88(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-54	-230	-47	-76	27.02	48%	-0.17	-54.6	2.55%	0	-1.2	24	0
14	Jun_8_2015	47.1	42.86	40.76	40.62	40.62	39.72	38.43(-4.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-59	-160	-48	-92	25.76	48%	-0.21	-47.1	2.54%	0	-1.5	20	0
15	Jun_5_2015	47.2	43.3	41.05	41.45	41.39	40.88	40.22(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-90	-19	-87	9.95	51%	-0.17	-41.7	2.49%	0	-1	25	0

16	Jun_4_2015	47.28	43.66	41.14	41.58	41.7	41.52	40.66(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-20	-4	-109	14.13	51%	-0.13	-39.8	2.49%	0	-1	25	0
17	Jun_3_2015	47.34	43.9	41.22	41.54	41.51	41.89	41.58(-1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-28	60	7	-133	13.27	51%	-0.17	-44.1	2.47%	0	-0.8	29	0
18	Jun_2_2015	47.42	44.09	41.63	41.37	41.21	41.88	42.2(-0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	100	29	-136	14.83	51%	-0.11	-52.4	2.47%	0	-0.7	29	0
19	Jun_1_2015	47.47	44.34	42.07	40.94	40.83	41.12	42.6(4.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-23	40	21	-156	21.92	51%	-0.17	-59.9	2.47%	0	-0.6	28	0
20	May_29_2015	47.55	44.59	42.45	40.64	40.58	41.12	40.85(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-47	-10	-2	-180	13.24	47%	-0.23	-66.7	2.43%	0	-1.3	22	0

21	May_28_2015	47.66	44.88	43.05	40.66	40.72	40.55	40.46(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-52	-20	-8	-182	9.24	47%	-0.21	-74.2	2.45%	0	-1.6	19	0
22	May_27_2015	47.76	45.23	43.67	40.87	40.9	40.61	40.72(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-73	-50	-36	-182	13.02	45%	-0.23	-81.7	2.47%	0	-1.7	34	0
23	May_26_2015	47.87	45.66	44.32	41.95	41.69	40.89	40.06(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-76	-150	-51	-151	17.48	45%	-0.33	-75	2.48%	0	-2.2	31	0
24	May_22_2015	48.03	46.16	45.12	43.38	43.24	41.18	41.08(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-80	-340	-67	-117	16.11	45%	-0.15	-60	2.44%	0	-2	28	0
25	May_21_2015	48.1	46.65	45.77	44.55	44.73	42.49	40.95(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-97	-340	-97	-97	23.9	45%		-45	2.46%	0	-2.5	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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