Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $47.8959 (0.95%) ($47.7131 - $48.8773) on Thu. Feb. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.65% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $47.8959(0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(64%)    XAR(54%)    XLF(54%)    XLI(54%)    IWM(53%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-16%)    IGOV(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.325% (StdDev 2.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

Resistance Level   $47.91
5 Day Moving Average   $46.83(2.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.45(3.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.91(-0.03%)
To recent high   -10.4%
To recent low   15.4%
Market Cap   $24.358b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 5.49% (three month std-dev: 2.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2015	43.97	47.91	46.45	46.83	47	47.69	47.9(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	110	30	2	11.46	48%	0.37	-21.1	2.65%	0	-0	41	INF
2	Feb_18_2015	43.81	48.08	46.38	46.41	46.31	46.86	47.44(2.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	80	16	-20	8.75	50%	0.32	-19.6	2.67%	0	-0.2	46	INF
3	Feb_17_2015	43.67	48.23	46.19	46.17	46.14	46.31	46.19(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	20	17	-48	7.26	48%	0.51	-17.2	2.67%	0	-0.7	36	INF
4	Feb_13_2015	43.45	48.33	46.25	45.88	45.94	45.76	46.56(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	-20	0	-91	9.9	48%	0.32	-23.8	2.65%	0	-0.6	31	INF
5	Feb_12_2015	43.31	48.39	46.29	45.84	45.65	45.97	46.07(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	40	-9	-123	9.54	48%	0.25	-31.3	2.65%	0	-0.9	29	INF

6	Feb_11_2015	43.2	48.47	46.67	46.01	45.94	46.11	45.79(-0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-26	20	8	-126	10.06	48%	0.3	-35.9	2.65%	0	-1	29	INF
7	Feb_10_2015	43.07	48.62	46.94	46.36	46.09	45.32	46.23(3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-130	-10	-138	9.09	48%	0.28	-38.1	2.65%	0	-0.9	37	INF
8	Feb_9_2015	42.95	48.71	47.35	46.23	46.39	45.76	44.77(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-61	-80	-30	-152	12.96	46%	0.23	-47.4	2.63%	0	-1.6	36	INF
9	Feb_6_2015	42.85	48.99	48.17	46.63	46.57	46.87	46.32(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	40	-4	-114	8.65	48%	0.23	-49.8	2.59%	0	-1.1	49	INF
10	Feb_5_2015	42.75	49.25	48.86	46.79	46.44	47.03	46.96(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	70	-0	-85	9.22	48%	0.28	-49.3	2.59%	0	-1	52	INF

11	Feb_4_2015	42.63	49.45	49.48	47.43	46.8	46.28	47.49(4.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-120	-2	-47	11.84	48%	0.26	-43.7	2.59%	0	-0.8	53	INF
12	Feb_3_2015	42.52	49.63	49.89	47.66	47.42	45.84	45.61(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-57	-250	-58	-52	16.68	45%	0.26	-41.9	2.55%	0	-1.8	45	INF
13	Feb_2_2015	42.41	49.95	50.45	48.65	48.49	47.33	46.78(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-56	-180	-69	-18	22.41	45%	0.26	-29.1	2.53%	0	-1.5	51	INF
14	Jan_30_2015	42.3	50.2	50.62	49.95	49.77	48.99	47.13(-6.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-31	-120	-47	16	18.47	45%	0.26	-8.2	2.55%	0	-1.5	45	INF
15	Jan_29_2015	42.19	50.43	50.73	51.22	50.99	49.65	50.16(3.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-21	-200	-41	39	16.62	50%	0.31	17.3	2.41%	0	-0.1	46	INF

16	Jan_28_2015	42.06	50.49	50.5	51.86	51.93	50.55	48.61(-3.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-33	-180	-56	38	17.06	47%	0.31	32.3	2.39%	0	-1	45	INF
17	Jan_27_2015	41.93	50.6	50.52	52.45	52.67	52.33	50.6(-4.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-30	-20	60	19.81	50%	0.34	47	2.33%	0	0	49	INF
18	Jan_26_2015	41.79	50.57	50.24	52.46	52.59	53.31	53.24(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	100	38	68	13.35	56%	0.43	51.8	2.22%	0	1.4	53	INF
19	Jan_23_2015	41.61	50.37	49.88	51.37	51.64	53.02	53.47(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	60	200	67	38	9.49	63%	0.41	44.6	2.25%	0	1.7	54	INF
20	Jan_22_2015	41.44	50.1	49.62	50.17	50.17	51.86	53.38(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	57	240	74	5	16.2	63%	0.41	33.3	2.28%	0	1.9	55	INF

21	Jan_21_2015	41.27	49.86	49.31	48.98	48.83	50.26	51.53(1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	37	200	62	-37	12.88	66%	0.32	16	2.28%	0	1.1	50	INF
22	Jan_20_2015	41.14	49.71	49.21	48.35	47.93	48.48	50.65(5.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	13	50	37	-60	15.16	69%	0.32	6.6	2.43%	0	0.6	49	INF
23	Jan_16_2015	41.01	49.59	49.28	47.74	47.62	47.4	47.83(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-40	-10	-90	12.98	68%	0.27	-5.1	2.4%	0	-1.1	41	INF
24	Jan_15_2015	40.9	49.57	49.67	48.17	47.85	47.37	47.44(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-44	-90	-33	-77	10.4	68%	0.27	2.3	2.44%	0	-1.4	43	INF
25	Jan_14_2015	40.79	49.53	50.08	48.98	48.69	47.84	47.44(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-37	-140	-35	-43	15.68	73%		15.7	2.44%	0	-1.3	51	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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