Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $48.3944 (1.65%) ($47.4918 - $49.3834) on Tue. Jan. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.69% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $48.3944(1.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(64%)    XAR(54%)    XLF(54%)    XLI(54%)    IWM(53%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-16%)    IGOV(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.345% (StdDev 2.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $49.61
5 Day Moving Average   $49.68(-2.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.49(-4.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.61(-2.45%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   76.8%
Market Cap   $24.611b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 3.45% (three month std-dev: 2.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_13_2015	40.69		50.49	49.68	49.74	48.33	48.39(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-190	-37	-15	12.26	66%	0.27	26.4	2.69%	0	-0.7	51	0
2	Jan_12_2015	40.58	49.61	50.75	50.18	50.38	49.54	47.61(-4.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-35	-100	-47	1	18.26	66%	0.25	32.7	2.87%	0	-1.2	49	0
3	Jan_9_2015	40.48	49.67	51.03	51.01	51.14	51.14	49.95(-3.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	10	-9	43	12.35	64%	0.3	50	2.84%	0	0.2	65	0
4	Jan_8_2015	40.36	49.53	51	51.37	51.42	51.23	51.52(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	18	-20	1	67	9.67	64%	0.32	58.1	2.84%	0	1.2	82	0
5	Jan_7_2015	40.23	49.28	50.69	51.36	51.49	51.13	50.9(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-40	-11	71	10.07	62%	0.32	58.7	2.89%	0	0.9	83	0

6	Jan_6_2015	40.1	49.17	50.49	51.44	51.69	51.61	50.93(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	0	-3	78	13.77	59%	0.3	65.7	2.91%	0	1	60	0
7	Jan_5_2015	39.98	49.06	50.28	51.41	51.64	51.85	51.73(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	40	11	87	11.57	59%	0.38	74.1	2.95%	0	1.5	66	0
8	Jan_2_2015	39.83	48.85	49.92	51.04	51.21	51.77	51.76(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	90	17	79	10.76	62%	0.43	87.6	3.04%	0	1.8	63	0
9	Dec_31_2014	39.66	48.57	49.44	50.56	50.66	51.42	51.5(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	110	28	73	11.06	60%	0.41	96.8	3.05%	0	1.9	67	0
10	Dec_30_2014	39.5	48.29	48.9	49.9	49.98	50.65	51.29(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	100	25	57	8.06	60%	0.38	103.3	3.09%	0	2.1	69	0

11	Dec_29_2014	39.35	48.02	48.62	49.41	49.33	49.9	50.75(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	80	18	44	8.79	59%	0.41	117.4	3.09%	0	2	55	0
12	Dec_26_2014	39.19	47.8	48.33	49	49.06	49.31	49.89(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	40	17	31	6.84	59%	0.46	138	3.12%	0	1.7	52	0
13	Dec_24_2014	39.01	47.48	48.17	48.65	48.68	48.76	49.38(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	10	10	24	5.96	58%	0.36	110.6	3.12%	0	1.3	56	0
14	Dec_23_2014	38.87	47.14	47.93	48.14	48.26	48.81	48.21(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	90	14	17	7.17	58%	0.28	82.9	3.12%	0	0.6	58	0
15	Dec_22_2014	38.76	46.83	47.75	48.14	47.69	48.61	48.82(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	130	18	10	8.87	56%	0.31	62.6	3.11%	0	0.9	61	0

16	Dec_19_2014	38.64	46.48	47.75	47.71	47.29	47.72	48.69(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	40	16	20	26.79	54%	0.29	56.5	3.14%	0	0.9	61	0
17	Dec_18_2014	38.53	46.18	47.73	47.57	47.36	46.78	48.14(2.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-100	-6	16	16.95	54%	0.29	53.2	3.19%	0	0.8	56	0
18	Dec_17_2014	38.42	45.89	47.68	47.65	47.73	46.86	46.86(1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-120	-22	29	24.78	54%	0.23	54.3	3.18%	0	0.4	65	0
19	Dec_16_2014	38.33	45.72	47.65	47.67	48.26	47.95	46.05(-5.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10	-11	50	22.05	55%	0.21	57.2	3.18%	0	0.1	65	0
20	Dec_15_2014	38.25	45.53	47.68	47.67	48.24	48.6	48.82(1.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	23	80	5	78	15.37	59%	0.24	55.8	3.1%	0	1.2	77	0

21	Dec_12_2014	38.16	45.2	47.4	47.74	47.78	48.58	47.98(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	120	9	99	15.36	59%	0.18	58.8	3.1%	0	1.1	76	0
22	Dec_11_2014	38.09	44.92	47.26	47.94	47.75	47.87	48.52(3.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	10	16	127	15.1	59%	0.21	64.1	3.1%	0	1.4	73	0
23	Dec_10_2014	38.01	44.57	46.75	47.77	47.83	46.98	46.99(1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	24	-120	-9	121	18.5	57%	0.16	66.5	3.09%	0	1	70	0
24	Dec_9_2014	37.95	44.31	46.33	47.63	47.92	47.62	46.39(-4.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	-30	-14	116	20.58	57%	0.16	67.3	3.09%	0	0.8	63	0
25	Dec_8_2014	37.89	44.09	45.88	47.55	47.76	48.68	48.8(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	150	22	133	16.17	60%		71	3.02%	0	1.9	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.