Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 14, 2014

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $42.2587 (-0.25%) ($41.9274 - $42.7685) on Fri. Nov. 14, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.91% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $42.2587(-0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(64%)    XLF(54%)    XLI(54%)    XAR(53%)    IWM(52%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-16%)    IGOV(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.455% (StdDev 2.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.02(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.53(1.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.59(6.74%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   54.4%
Market Cap   $21.491b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 7.2% (three month std-dev: 2.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20141214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_14_2014	37.28	39.59	41.53	42.02	42.02	42.23	42.26(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	30	11	89	8.75	57%	-0.03	106.8	2.91%	0	0.9	82	INF
2	Nov_13_2014	37.29	39.1	41.28	41.87	41.77	41.86	42.36(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	10	6	91	11.13	57%	0.03	99.9	2.94%	0	1	83	INF
3	Nov_12_2014	37.28	38.58	40.93	41.68	41.58	41.81	41.7(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	30	7	98	7.71	57%	0	91.3	2.94%	0	0.9	86	INF
4	Nov_11_2014	37.28	38.03	40.6	41.45	41.53	41.67	41.71(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	30	10	109	11.05	58%	0	82.2	2.95%	0	1	89	INF
5	Nov_10_2014	37.28	37.47	40.29	41.31	41.28	41.34	42.09(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	10	5	117	13.17	58%	-0.03	70.4	2.96%	0	1.1	82	INF

6	Nov_7_2014	37.29	36.76	39.9	40.96	41.27	41.4	41.48(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	43	40	12	136	9.02	58%	0	59.8	2.95%	0	1.1	87	INF
7	Nov_6_2014	37.29	36.17	39.56	40.61	40.94	41.22	41.42(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	52	70	15	162	14.48	58%	0.03	52	2.96%	0	1.2	89	INF
8	Nov_5_2014	37.28	35.62	39.11	40.06	40.49	41.14	40.57(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	63	140	23	181	11.53	56%	0.03	47.7	2.95%	0	1.2	89	INF
9	Nov_4_2014	37.27	35.17	38.61	39.6	39.86	40.65	41(1.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	73	160	30	202	17.42	55%	0.05	45	2.97%	0	1.5	92	INF
10	Nov_3_2014	37.25	34.73	38.13	39.11	39.11	39.84	40.33(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	74	130	24	224	8.45	55%	0.03	42.5	2.99%	0	1.5	92	INF

11	Oct_31_2014	37.24	34.35	37.49	38.68	38.72	39.07	39.7(2.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	79	70	21	254	13.01	55%	0.05	42.1	2.99%	0	1.5	94	INF
12	Oct_30_2014	37.22	34.07	36.74	38.37	38.35	38.38	38.7(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	73	0	9	266	10.57	55%	-0.05	42.9	2.98%	0	1.4	78	INF
13	Oct_29_2014	37.24	33.74	36.05	38	38.11	38.37	38.25(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	79	60	15	272	15.78	55%	-0.11	40.2	2.98%	0	1.4	72	INF
14	Oct_28_2014	37.28	33.45	35.29	37.45	37.71	38.32	38.54(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	82	130	23	257	12.19	53%	-0.08	34.9	2.99%	0	1.7	68	INF
15	Oct_27_2014	37.31	33.19	34.46	36.99	37.07	37.85	38.23(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	87	150	36	238	13.36	53%	-0.08	33.4	3.02%	0	1.8	63	INF

16	Oct_24_2014	37.34	32.92	33.4	36.09	36.4	37.1	38.14(3.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	81	160	48	180	17.83	52%	-0.08	25.5	3.02%	0	2.1	60	INF
17	Oct_23_2014	37.37	32.7	32.51	34.86	35.31	36.29	36.86(3.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	58	230	42	106	33.29	51%	-0.11	11.7	3%	0	1.8	53	INF
18	Oct_22_2014	37.41	32.51	31.85	33.8	34.2	35.69	35.48(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	60	340	58	65	18.96	50%	-0.11	-7.1	2.98%	0	1.4	57	INF
19	Oct_21_2014	37.45	32.44	31.41	32.78	32.81	34.32	36.25(7.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	57	320	68	25	26.35	50%	-0.08	-24	2.97%	0	1.9	57	INF
20	Oct_20_2014	37.48	32.44	30.98	31.56	31.38	32.71	33.73(5.51%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	41	280	65	-30	13.53	46%	-0.13	-49.1	2.81%	0	0.8	49	INF

21	Oct_17_2014	37.53	32.29	30.89	30.29	30.39	31.3	31.97(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	12	220	45	-88	16.01	43%	-0.16	-67.7	2.75%	0	-0.2	46	INF
22	Oct_16_2014	37.59	32.43	31.12	29.79	29.48	30.05	31.58(4.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-17	100	16	-116	24.99	43%	-0.19	-70.9	2.78%	0	-0.4	42	INF
23	Oct_15_2014	37.66	32.66	31.19	29.6	29.32	29.49	30.35(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-35	10	0	-141	39.94	41%	-0.19	-71.2	2.72%	0	-1	41	INF
24	Oct_14_2014	37.73	32.93	31.45	29.85	29.74	28.9	30.18(10.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-57	-210	-25	-153	28.15	41%	-0.21	-69.8	2.73%	0	-1.2	38	INF
25	Oct_13_2014	37.81	33.24	31.82	30.35	30.49	29.15	27.37(-7.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-101	-290	-76	-175	34.53	34%		-66.8	2.39%	0	-2.7	30	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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