Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Jul. 12, 2014

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $40.9667 (0.14%) ($40.6228 - $41.3011) on Sat. Jul. 12, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.05% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $40.9667(0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.025% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.025% (StdDev 2.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $33.42(-18.42%)
5 Day Moving Average   $39.75(3.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.33(1.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.69(0.68%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   28.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 3.24% (three month std-dev: 2.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.23%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.4%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.09%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140812

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2014	37.22	40.69	40.33	39.75	39.63	40.5	40.97(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	140	26	-73	8.14	56%	0.13	-21.6	2.05%	0	0.2	42	0
2	Jul_10_2014	37.17	40.58	40.46	39.51	39.15	39.95	40.91(1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	120	31	-69	11.83	52%	0.13	-31.7	2.14%	0	0.2	50	0
3	Jul_9_2014	37.12	40.55	40.55	39.35	39.21	38.76	40.11(4.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-20	-90	-0	-80	20.47	54%	0.08	-36.8	2.21%	0	-0.3	49	0
4	Jul_8_2014	37.09	40.63	40.66	39.7	39.34	38.35	38.46(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-63	-200	-56	-84	26.4	51%	0.05	-23.5	2.17%	0	-1.5	46	0
5	Jul_7_2014	37.07	40.79	41.06	40.22	40.33	39.65	38.31(-3.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-41	-110	-41	-42	14.23	51%	0.05	-6.9	2.17%	0	-1.8	50	0

6	Jul_3_2014	37.05	40.98	41.51	40.96	40.96	40.34	39.76(-0.79%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-24	-110	-36	12	8.26	54%	0.08	22.5	2.14%	0	-1	59	0
7	Jul_2_2014	37.02	41.03	41.67	41.52	41.46	41.02	40.08(-4.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-7	-80	-28	55	19.75	54%	0.11	46.2	2.14%	0	-0.8	62	0
8	Jul_1_2014	36.98	41.07	41.77	41.9	41.9	41.58	41.9(2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	-50	-4	87	9.17	60%	0.19	65.8	2.06%	0	0.7	57	0
9	Jun_30_2014	36.91	40.96	41.59	41.77	41.83	41.9	41.04(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	20	-14	67	10.46	61%	0.14	69.3	2.11%	0	0.1	47	0
10	Jun_27_2014	36.86	40.89	41.44	42.04	41.88	42.22	42.04(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	50	8	73	41.47	61%	0.22	77.3	2.09%	0	0.9	51	0

11	Jun_26_2014	36.78	40.71	41.12	42.14	41.9	41.76	42.56(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-40	13	59	11.18	58%	0.22	80.6	2.12%	0	1.3	51	0
12	Jun_25_2014	36.7	40.49	40.71	41.86	41.82	41.54	41.95(1.69%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-50	-5	28	10.94	60%	0.19	79.3	2.15%	0	1	56	0
13	Jun_24_2014	36.63	40.29	40.54	41.62	41.75	42.04	41.25(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	60	9	21	13.25	60%	0.19	77.1	2.17%	0	0.6	52	0
14	Jun_23_2014	36.56	40.12	40.56	41.37	41.41	42.1	42.38(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	120	39	37	18.46	62%	0.22	74.5	2.15%	0	1.5	62	0
15	Jun_20_2014	36.48	39.87	40.46	40.74	40.73	41.46	42.56(3.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	43	120	47	30	40.64	62%	0.25	64.8	2.16%	0	1.8	64	0

16	Jun_19_2014	36.39	39.59	40.35	39.94	39.92	40.72	41.14(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	140	39	18	14.12	60%	0.19	52.8	2.13%	0	1	64	0
17	Jun_18_2014	36.32	39.37	40.35	39.39	39.27	39.99	40.76(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	120	28	8	11.25	60%	0.19	39.1	2.13%	0	0.9	65	0
18	Jun_17_2014	36.25	39.16	40.28	39.32	38.84	39.12	40(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	10	1	13	12.53	62%	0.14	33.8	2.13%	0	0.5	63	0
19	Jun_16_2014	36.2	39.01	40.25	39.67	39.11	39.12	39.23(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	-140	-21	31	13.63	62%	0.14	36.7	2.16%	0	0.1	62	0
20	Jun_13_2014	36.15	38.9	40.29	40.15	39.85	38.55	38.58(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-27	-250	-53	51	13.59	62%	0.11	44.3	2.17%	0	-0.2	61	0

21	Jun_12_2014	36.11	38.81	40.31	40.82	40.68	39.68	38.41(-4.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-17	-180	-52	89	37.32	62%	0.11	53.7	2.19%	0	-0.2	63	0
22	Jun_11_2014	36.07	38.75	40.32	41.24	41.33	41.14	40.4(-3.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	23	-30	-16	138	13.19	67%	0.19	63.9	2.11%	0	0.9	78	0
23	Jun_10_2014	36	38.61	40.1	41.34	41.37	41.68	41.71(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	57	50	18	174	8.38	71%	0.25	73.9	2.08%	0	1.7	91	0
24	Jun_9_2014	35.91	38.39	39.69	40.92	41.03	41.53	41.65(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	90	30	170	11.69	71%	0.28	81.3	2.09%	0	1.9	86	0
25	Jun_6_2014	35.81	38.12	39.26	40.46	40.48	41.06	41.92(3.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	69	100	38	160	13.62	71%		86.1	2.11%	0	2.4	89	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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