Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $36.4860 (-1.67%) ($35.8077 - $37.0019) on Thu. May. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.29% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $36.4860(-1.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(64%)    XLI(54%)    XAR(53%)    XLF(53%)    IWM(52%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.145% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    IGOV(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-6%)    TIP(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.145% (StdDev 2.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.07(-1.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.28(0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.36(3.18%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   14.4%
Market Cap   $18.555b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 3.59% (three month std-dev: 2.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.8%(83%) Average negative next day return: -0.28%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.12%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.86%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 3.12%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.04%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140615

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_15_2014	34.94	35.36	36.28	37.07	37.09	36.86	36.49(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	20	-40	-10	111	10.68	65%	0.11	87.7	2.29%	0	0.9	66	0
2	May_14_2014	34.9	35.23	36.12	37.08	37.08	37.33	37.11(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	50	12	117	7.99	65%	0.14	84.2	2.3%	0	1.5	58	0
3	May_13_2014	34.85	34.99	35.78	36.77	36.79	37.31	37.56(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	100	30	99	8.68	65%	0.2	66.1	2.32%	0	1.9	62	0
4	May_12_2014	34.78	34.71	35.41	36.26	36.22	36.83	37.63(2.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	42	110	31	76	12.44	65%	0.2	46.9	2.35%	0	2.1	67	0
5	May_9_2014	34.71	34.43	34.99	35.73	35.74	36.26	36.55(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	100	28	51	9.7	63%	0.14	28.8	2.34%	0	1.7	66	0

6	May_8_2014	34.66	34.28	34.76	35.39	35.29	35.61	36.54(2.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	50	20	38	14.45	63%	0.14	15.7	2.37%	0	1.9	67	0
7	May_7_2014	34.61	34.2	34.64	35.04	34.98	35.23	35.56(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	40	18	34	7.8	61%	0.06	4.7	2.36%	0	1.3	62	0
8	May_6_2014	34.59	34.13	34.6	34.63	34.8	34.97	35.03(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	50	15	38	9.49	61%	0.03	-14.1	2.38%	0	0.9	70	0
9	May_5_2014	34.58	34.08	34.55	34.41	34.44	34.73	34.97(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	60	12	45	5.82	61%	0.03	-24.3	2.41%	0	0.9	71	0
10	May_2_2014	34.57	34.07	34.46	34.13	34.2	34.63	34.86(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	90	14	48	6.99	61%	0.03	-27	2.45%	0	0.8	68	0

11	May_1_2014	34.56	34.1	34.36	34.04	34.03	34.15	34.77(3.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	20	2	41	11.5	61%	0.03	-22.2	2.49%	0	0.6	55	0
12	Apr_30_2014	34.55	34.15	34.28	34.2	34.13	33.78	33.51(-1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-80	-18	33	6.95	57%	-0.09	-13.3	2.43%	0	-0.6	42	0
13	Apr_29_2014	34.58	34.28	34.18	34.59	34.58	33.91	33.93(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-140	-19	34	8.99	57%	-0.06	-3.7	2.46%	0	-0.3	48	0
14	Apr_28_2014	34.6	34.33	34	34.71	34.99	34.47	33.59(-2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-8	-80	-19	25	13.15	57%	-0.12	-1.4	2.5%	0	-0.6	48	0
15	Apr_25_2014	34.64	34.35	33.88	34.81	35.1	35.25	34.39(-3.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	50	1	20	9.58	57%	-0.03	-1.7	2.5%	0	0	47	0

16	Apr_24_2014	34.65	34.34	33.8	34.7	34.82	35.51	35.6(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	150	25	12	21.04	62%	0.12	-7.4	2.46%	0	1	48	0
17	Apr_23_2014	34.61	34.3	33.73	34.36	34.37	34.95	35.44(2.57%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	28	120	38	-1	14.65	62%	0.09	-16.9	2.51%	0	1	45	0
18	Apr_22_2014	34.58	34.32	33.6	33.72	33.83	34.13	34.55(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	70	28	-42	8.94	60%	0	-28.8	2.51%	0	0.2	40	0
19	Apr_21_2014	34.58	34.35	33.54	33.18	33.18	33.79	34.08(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	130	19	-71	7.19	60%	-0.06	-43.5	2.54%	0	-0.2	46	0
20	Apr_17_2014	34.6	34.37	33.61	32.8	32.79	33.53	33.82(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	160	22	-77	9.23	60%	-0.12	-53.8	2.59%	0	-0.5	52	0

21	Apr_16_2014	34.64	34.42	33.77	32.78	32.51	32.56	33.93(5.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-19	-10	0	-77	15.64	60%	-0.09	0	2.65%	0	-0.4	50	0
22	Apr_15_2014	34.67	34.5	33.96	33.05	32.79	32.05	32.22(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-40	-180	-27	-80	15.98	53%	-0.32	0	2.44%	0	-1.8	38	0
23	Apr_14_2014	34.78	34.68	34.36	33.48	33.49	32.45	31.88(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-45	-220	-38	-67	13.47	53%	-0.4	0	2.48%	0	-2.4	32	0
24	Apr_11_2014	34.92	34.89	34.7	33.94	33.9	33.53	32.18(-4.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-41	-80	-38	-51	15.54	53%	-0.37	0	2.54%	0	-2.8	40	0
25	Apr_10_2014	35.05	35.04	34.9	34.49	34.42	34.53	33.72(-4.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	20	-7	-24	16.31	62%		0	2.41%	0	-1.8	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.