Trading Signals: A Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 26, 2013

Trading Signals: A Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Agilent Technologies Inc.)
A latest price $52.0900 (0.5%) ($51.4600 - $52.1200) on Thu. Sep. 26, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $52.0900(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   A advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   A advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support A advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(63%)    XLK(60%)    QQQ(59%)    IWM(56%)    XLY(55%)
Factors Impacting A price   A will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    GLD(-1%)    TIP(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.87(0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.65(2.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.27(5.72%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   23%
Market Cap   $16.096b

Agilent Technologies, Inc. engages in the provision of application focused solutions for life sciences, diagnostics, and applied chemical markets. It operates through the following segments: Life Sciences and Applied Markets, Diagnostics and Genomics, and Agilent CrossLab. The Life Sciences and Applied Markets segment offers application-focused solutions that include instruments and software that enable to identify, quantify, and analyze the physical and biological properties of substances and products, as well as the clinical and life sciences research areas to interrogate samples at the molecular and cellular level. The Diagnostics and Genomics segment comprises activity providing active pharmaceutical ingredients for oligo-based therapeutics as well as solutions that include reagents, instruments, software, and consumables. The Agilent CrossLab segment includes startup, operational, training and compliance support, software as a service, and asset management and consultative services. The company was founded in May 1999 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. A price fluctuates within 3.71% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 1.28%(21%) Average negative next day return: -0.85%(79%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 1.53%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -4.04%(43%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 2.53%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.42%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131026

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_26_2013	46.09	49.27	50.65	51.87	51.76	51.83	52.09(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	66	0	17	212	2.68	87%	0.22	66	1.09%	0	1.5	85	0
2	Sep_25_2013	45.99	49	50.31	51.65	51.69	51.67	51.83(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	65	-0	16	213	2.87	87%	0.2	64.8	1.09%	0	1.6	81	0
3	Sep_24_2013	45.9	48.75	50.01	51.14	51.76	51.69	51.6(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	78	30	36	205	2.2	82%	0.22	60	1.09%	0	1.7	77	0
4	Sep_23_2013	45.8	48.53	49.7	50.6	51.1	51.72	51.67(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	73	110	35	187	2.72	82%	0.22	59.2	1.12%	0	2	81	0
5	Sep_20_2013	45.7	48.32	49.32	50.01	50.37	51.84	52.15(2.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	129	230	106	196	10.69	76%	0.24	58.1	1.12%	0	2.8	86	0

6	Sep_19_2013	45.59	48.09	48.83	49.27	49.68	50.48	50.98(3.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	120	140	108	157	18.15	68%	0.22	61.6	1.15%	0	2.8	82	0
7	Sep_18_2013	45.49	47.87	48.49	48.8	48.8	48.91	49.32(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	29	20	5	100	2.04	64%	0.18	64.9	1.15%	0	1.8	77	0
8	Sep_17_2013	45.41	47.76	48.34	48.73	48.75	48.89	48.87(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	20	13	110	1.58	64%	0.18	68.6	1.15%	0	1.5	71	0
9	Sep_16_2013	45.33	47.63	48.15	48.67	48.7	48.68	48.74(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-0	12	101	1.86	64%	0.15	66.9	1.15%	0	1.5	60	0
10	Sep_13_2013	45.26	47.53	47.95	48.51	48.56	48.61	48.46(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	10	8	81	2.14	64%	0.13	67.5	1.16%	0	1.3	57	0

11	Sep_12_2013	45.2	47.46	47.79	48.3	48.37	48.72	48.62(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	50	23	64	1.47	64%	0.13	69.3	1.17%	0	1.6	54	0
12	Sep_11_2013	45.14	47.35	47.6	48.11	48.07	48.51	48.96(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	40	60	34	57	1.78	64%	0.16	66.7	1.17%	0	2.4	67	0
13	Sep_10_2013	45.07	47.24	47.39	47.9	47.84	48.02	48.55(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	20	35	44	1.82	64%	0.13	76	1.18%	0	2.3	63	0
14	Sep_9_2013	45.01	47.13	47.28	47.57	47.6	47.62	47.95(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	0	12	27	1.67	62%	0.16	74.5	1.17%	0	1.6	64	0
15	Sep_6_2013	44.94	47.04	47.24	47.31	47.43	47.65	47.43(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	40	13	21	1.33	62%	0.11	59.4	1.17%	0	0.8	56	0

16	Sep_5_2013	44.89	46.97	47.28	47.18	47.23	47.58	47.68(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	60	30	30	1.31	58%	0.13	46.2	1.17%	0	1.3	57	0
17	Sep_4_2013	44.83	46.9	47.2	47	46.96	47.2	47.87(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	23	30	24	20	2.52	58%	0.09	51.3	1.2%	0	1.8	62	0
18	Sep_3_2013	44.79	46.81	47.11	46.82	46.81	46.87	46.93(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1	10	1	1	1.57	55%	0.09	54.1	1.17%	0	0.2	51	0
19	Aug_30_2013	44.75	46.76	47.07	46.95	46.82	46.72	46.64(-0.34%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-11	-20	-15	3	1.36	55%	0.07	65.2	1.18%	0	-0.2	54	0
20	Aug_29_2013	44.72	46.75	47.1	47.16	47.07	46.75	46.8(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-13	-50	-23	19	1.9	55%	0.11	80	1.17%	0	0.1	57	0

21	Aug_28_2013	44.67	46.72	47.12	47.39	47.34	46.92	46.74(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-9	-70	-26	43	1.59	58%	0.11	70.7	1.18%	0	0	60	0
22	Aug_27_2013	44.62	46.62	47.12	47.42	47.52	47.39	46.97(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10	-14	52	2.14	58%	0.11	52.7	1.2%	0	0.4	57	0
23	Aug_26_2013	44.57	46.53	47.1	47.43	47.48	47.75	47.6(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	40	18	76	2.01	61%	0.13	42.6	1.19%	0	1.3	65	0
24	Aug_23_2013	44.51	46.41	46.99	47.2	47.24	47.65	47.68(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	60	32	74	1.7	61%	0.16	28.2	1.2%	0	1.6	66	0
25	Aug_22_2013	44.44	46.3	46.84	47.02	46.94	47.21	47.97(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	36	40	27	61	3.15	61%		19.4	1.2%	0	2.3	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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