Trading Signals: A Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 30, 2011

Trading Signals: A Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Agilent Technologies Inc.)
A latest price $51.1100 (1.03%) ($50.5000 - $51.9900) on Thu. Jun. 30, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.71% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $51.1100(1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   A advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   A advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support A advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(67%)    IWM(62%)    QQQ(62%)    XLK(62%)    EWG(59%)
Factors Impacting A price   A will decline at least -0.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    GLD(1%)    IGOV(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.855% (StdDev 1.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.9(2.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.4(3.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.62(5.12%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   14.1%
Market Cap   $15.793b

Agilent Technologies, Inc. engages in the provision of application focused solutions for life sciences, diagnostics, and applied chemical markets. It operates through the following segments: Life Sciences and Applied Markets, Diagnostics and Genomics, and Agilent CrossLab. The Life Sciences and Applied Markets segment offers application-focused solutions that include instruments and software that enable to identify, quantify, and analyze the physical and biological properties of substances and products, as well as the clinical and life sciences research areas to interrogate samples at the molecular and cellular level. The Diagnostics and Genomics segment comprises activity providing active pharmaceutical ingredients for oligo-based therapeutics as well as solutions that include reagents, instruments, software, and consumables. The Agilent CrossLab segment includes startup, operational, training and compliance support, software as a service, and asset management and consultative services. The company was founded in May 1999 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. A price fluctuates within 2.39% (three month std-dev: 1.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 3.44%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.81%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 5.42%(83%) Average negative next three day return: -7.01%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 6.12%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -13.06%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110730

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_30_2011	46.87	48.62	49.4	49.9	50.01	50.88	51.11(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	51	130	37	92	3.5	61%	0.17	24.7	1.71%	0	2.1	62	0
2	Jun_29_2011	46.79	48.46	49	49.56	49.47	50.23	50.59(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	55	100	49	74	3.49	61%	0.15	15.4	1.71%	0	2.1	57	0
3	Jun_28_2011	46.72	48.32	48.67	49.23	48.95	49.15	50.48(3.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	25	10	18	47	3.31	61%	0.13	3.6	1.72%	0	2.3	61	0
4	Jun_27_2011	46.66	48.27	48.5	49.1	48.84	48.71	48.85(0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-30	-3	43	3.06	58%	0.13	3.4	1.67%	0	0.7	56	0
5	Jun_24_2011	46.6	48.3	48.37	49	49.05	48.75	48.49(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	15	-40	4	47	2.65	58%	0.15	-4.9	1.67%	0	0.2	58	0

6	Jun_23_2011	46.53	48.33	48.34	48.79	48.76	48.97	49.38(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	30	5	44	3.48	60%	0.19	-20.2	1.66%	0	1.2	59	0
7	Jun_22_2011	46.44	48.31	48.26	48.33	48.51	49.35	48.95(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	130	43	44	2.29	60%	0.15	-48.4	1.66%	0	0.7	53	0
8	Jun_21_2011	46.37	48.29	48.13	48.01	47.95	48.54	49.82(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	35	80	38	27	3.53	65%	0.17	-71.2	1.66%	0	1.7	58	0
9	Jun_20_2011	46.29	48.24	47.9	47.84	47.58	47.66	48.38(2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	-0	8	-6	3.81	62%	0.17	-98.9	1.64%	0	0.2	42	0
10	Jun_17_2011	46.21	48.34	47.77	47.67	47.87	47.37	47.43(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-60	-9	-38	4.28	60%	0.11	-97.1	1.63%	0	-0.9	39	0

11	Jun_16_2011	46.16	48.52	47.78	47.82	47.92	47.5	47.06(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-45	-60	-41	-58	3.04	55%	0.09	-78.7	1.63%	0	-1.3	38	0
12	Jun_15_2011	46.12	48.75	47.9	48.15	48.25	48.37	47.37(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	20	-3	-35	3.5	55%	0.11	-58.6	1.69%	0	-1.1	42	0
13	Jun_14_2011	46.07	48.93	47.97	48.23	48.36	48.34	48.97(3.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	10	18	-29	4.8	60%	0.13	-53.7	1.66%	0	0	51	0
14	Jun_13_2011	46.01	49.08	48.02	47.97	48.07	48.13	47.53(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	10	-5	-45	4.03	56%	0.13	-45.1	1.63%	0	-1	40	0
15	Jun_10_2011	45.95	49.33	48.22	47.88	48.01	48.39	48.19(-1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	60	21	-47	3.92	52%	0.13	-36.4	1.62%	0	-0.7	34	0

16	Jun_9_2011	45.89	49.44	48.33	47.73	47.7	48.01	48.71(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	40	18	-66	3.28	52%	0.13	-36.3	1.65%	0	-0.5	34	0
17	Jun_8_2011	45.83	49.5	48.35	47.62	47.47	47.63	47.74(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	10	3	-97	4.71	50%	0.09	-37.2	1.63%	0	-1.1	25	0
18	Jun_7_2011	45.79	49.65	48.45	47.67	47.6	47.4	47.7(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-40	-30	-14	-119	4.13	50%	0.04	-37.7	1.63%	0	-1.2	30	0
19	Jun_6_2011	45.77	49.77	48.6	48.11	47.92	47.3	47.06(-0.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-64	-100	-40	-135	2.06	50%	0.09	-33.6	1.64%	0	-1.8	21	0
20	Jun_3_2011	45.73	49.93	48.96	48.62	48.54	47.81	47.43(-1.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-52	-110	-34	-106	2.89	63%	0.09	-27.6	1.99%	0	-1.8	21	0

21	Jun_2_2011	45.69	50.03	49.33	49.01	49.06	48.54	48.18(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-40	-70	-25	-86	3.33	64%	0.11	-25.8	2.01%	0	-1.5	42	0
22	Jun_1_2011	45.64	50.11	49.67	49.18	49.28	49.28	48(-3.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	10	-10	-67	4.16	60%	0.13	-25.8	2.02%	0	-1.8	43	0
23	May_31_2011	45.58	50.25	50	49.31	49.24	49.59	49.87(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	50	14	-53	2.64	68%	0.24	-19.7	1.96%	0	-0.4	47	0
24	May_27_2011	45.47	50.28	50.22	49.16	49.03	49.28	49.6(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	30	6	-48	2.14	65%	0.2	-15	2.01%	0	-0.7	50	0
25	May_26_2011	45.38	50.3	50.51	49.38	48.99	48.88	49.39(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-40	-11	-33	3.27	65%		-6.8	2.03%	0	-0.9	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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