Trading Signals: A Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 24, 2010

Trading Signals: A Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Agilent Technologies Inc.)
A latest price $32.0900 (5.01%) ($30.9700 - $32.1600) on Fri. Sep. 24, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.35% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $32.0900(5.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   A advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   A advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support A advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(66%)    IWM(62%)    QQQ(61%)    XLK(61%)    XLY(59%)
Factors Impacting A price   A will decline at least -1.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    GLD(1%)    IGOV(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.175% (StdDev 2.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.12(3.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.44(5.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.55(8.6%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19%
Market Cap   $9.916b

Agilent Technologies, Inc. engages in the provision of application focused solutions for life sciences, diagnostics, and applied chemical markets. It operates through the following segments: Life Sciences and Applied Markets, Diagnostics and Genomics, and Agilent CrossLab. The Life Sciences and Applied Markets segment offers application-focused solutions that include instruments and software that enable to identify, quantify, and analyze the physical and biological properties of substances and products, as well as the clinical and life sciences research areas to interrogate samples at the molecular and cellular level. The Diagnostics and Genomics segment comprises activity providing active pharmaceutical ingredients for oligo-based therapeutics as well as solutions that include reagents, instruments, software, and consumables. The Agilent CrossLab segment includes startup, operational, training and compliance support, software as a service, and asset management and consultative services. The company was founded in May 1999 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. A price fluctuates within 4.23% (three month std-dev: 2.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 2.27%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.29%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 2.18%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.08%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 3.49%(89%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.47%(11%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101024

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_24_2010	29.91	29.55	30.44	31.12	31.03	31.06	32.09(5.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	-0	17	97	3.64	49%	-0.03	70	2.35%	0	2	68	0
2	Sep_23_2010	29.92	29.31	30.12	30.81	30.87	30.77	30.56(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-20	-2	76	2.8	45%	-0.13	63.7	2.31%	0	1.1	64	0
3	Sep_22_2010	29.96	29.17	29.96	30.71	30.85	31.01	30.76(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	50	13	84	3.86	45%	-0.17	54.9	2.31%	0	1.4	74	0
4	Sep_21_2010	30.01	29	29.77	30.44	30.54	30.97	31.15(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	41	110	24	92	2.92	45%	-0.2	41.2	2.31%	0	1.8	83	0
5	Sep_20_2010	30.07	28.83	29.54	30.04	30.08	30.69	31.03(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	150	30	87	3.68	45%	-0.17	38.3	2.31%	0	2.1	73	0

6	Sep_17_2010	30.12	28.7	29.4	29.66	29.62	30.11	30.55(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	42	110	28	84	4.77	45%	-0.23	38.6	2.31%	0	2	68	0
7	Sep_16_2010	30.19	28.59	29.25	29.33	29.3	29.47	30.04(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	40	16	80	4.47	45%	-0.23	38.3	2.29%	0	1.8	69	0
8	Sep_15_2010	30.26	28.54	29.08	29.11	29.1	29.14	29.41(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	10	4	70	3.74	47%	-0.23	39.9	2.28%	0	1.1	64	0
9	Sep_14_2010	30.33	28.53	28.85	29	29.08	29.12	29.17(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	20	3	62	2.63	48%	-0.23	35.6	2.3%	0	0.8	65	0
10	Sep_13_2010	30.4	28.43	28.71	28.96	29.06	29.07	29.13(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	10	-4	56	2.96	48%	-0.26	17.9	2.32%	0	0.9	58	0

11	Sep_10_2010	30.48	28.34	28.6	29.1	29.1	29.03	28.91(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-20	-5	60	1.77	51%	-0.26	15.2	2.32%	0	0.7	52	0
12	Sep_9_2010	30.56	28.27	28.46	29.16	29.29	29.06	28.93(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-40	2	58	2.1	51%	-0.23	12.2	2.36%	0	0.8	52	0
13	Sep_8_2010	30.63	28.24	28.34	29.04	29.21	29.16	28.84(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	10	7	40	2.81	51%	-0.26	7.6	2.36%	0	0.7	45	0
14	Sep_7_2010	30.71	28.26	28.19	28.66	28.94	29.52	28.99(-2.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	170	20	11	2.21	51%	-0.36	3.7	2.36%	0	0.9	47	0
15	Sep_3_2010	30.82	28.29	28.08	28.4	28.41	29.26	29.85(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	29	210	35	10	2.26	48%	-0.16	0.3	2.45%	0	1.8	65	0

16	Sep_2_2010	30.87	28.22	27.93	28.02	27.94	28.36	29.21(3.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	22	100	30	-1	2.72	50%	-0.19	-8.2	2.43%	0	1.2	61	0
17	Sep_1_2010	30.93	28.22	27.84	27.68	27.66	27.56	28.29(4.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-30	5	-20	3.64	46%	-0.16	-18.6	2.42%	0	0.2	56	0
18	Aug_31_2010	30.98	28.17	27.93	27.56	27.62	27.53	26.97(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-20	-8	-23	5.34	43%	-0.26	-25.7	2.35%	0	-1.5	43	0
19	Aug_30_2010	31.06	28.23	28.16	27.64	27.65	27.76	27.68(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	30	0	-17	2.59	44%	-0.19	-30.1	2.35%	0	-0.7	39	0
20	Aug_27_2010	31.12	28.23	28.13	27.7	27.55	27.72	27.96(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	30	-2	-37	3.35	47%	-0.19	-33.6	2.35%	0	-0.4	39	0

21	Aug_26_2010	31.18	28.28	28.08	27.82	27.71	27.54	27.51(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-50	-4	-43	2.95	47%	-0.22	-37.7	2.4%	0	-1	44	0
22	Aug_25_2010	31.25	28.32	28.09	28.02	27.87	27.37	27.69(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-140	-26	-50	4.37	47%	-0.22	-34.9	2.4%	0	-0.9	47	0
23	Aug_24_2010	31.32	28.38	28.15	28.37	28.24	27.88	27.36(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-29	-100	-27	-34	2.94	47%	-0.25	-15	2.4%	0	-1.4	47	0
24	Aug_23_2010	31.4	28.46	28.35	28.76	28.73	28.36	27.96(-2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	0	-90	-2	7	3.12	47%	-0.1	7.8	2.38%	0	-0.7	53	0
25	Aug_20_2010	31.43	28.54	28.53	28.6	28.89	28.59	28.56(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2	-40	0	8	3.37	44%		14.7	2.38%	0	0	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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