Trading Signals: A Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 31, 2006

Trading Signals: A Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Agilent Technologies Inc.)
A latest price $32.1600 (0.5%) ($31.6300 - $32.2500) on Thu. Aug. 31, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.43% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $32.1600(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   A advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   A advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support A advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(70%)    IWM(66%)    QQQ(66%)    XLK(66%)    EWG(63%)
Factors Impacting A price   A will decline at least -1.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(3%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.215% (StdDev 2.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.36(2.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.2(3.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.14(6.7%)
To recent high   -9.5%
To recent low   18.8%
Market Cap   $9.937b

Agilent Technologies, Inc. engages in the provision of application focused solutions for life sciences, diagnostics, and applied chemical markets. It operates through the following segments: Life Sciences and Applied Markets, Diagnostics and Genomics, and Agilent CrossLab. The Life Sciences and Applied Markets segment offers application-focused solutions that include instruments and software that enable to identify, quantify, and analyze the physical and biological properties of substances and products, as well as the clinical and life sciences research areas to interrogate samples at the molecular and cellular level. The Diagnostics and Genomics segment comprises activity providing active pharmaceutical ingredients for oligo-based therapeutics as well as solutions that include reagents, instruments, software, and consumables. The Agilent CrossLab segment includes startup, operational, training and compliance support, software as a service, and asset management and consultative services. The company was founded in May 1999 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. A price fluctuates within 6.1% (three month std-dev: 2.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 6.24%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.73%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 7.16%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_31_2006	32.82	30.14	31.2	31.36	31.41	31.93	32.16(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	120	23	52	1.82	48%	-0.12	45.2	2.43%	0	1.1	81	0
2	Aug_30_2006	32.86	29.94	31.19	31.04	31.02	31.47	32(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	100	23	72	2.51	47%	-0.15	43.1	2.44%	0	1.1	74	0
3	Aug_29_2006	32.91	29.74	31.18	30.75	30.74	30.9	31.36(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	40	11	91	2.24	47%	-0.18	40.4	2.44%	0	0.9	75	0
4	Aug_28_2006	32.97	29.57	31.15	30.65	30.65	30.57	30.8(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	25	-20	-5	113	1.56	47%	-0.21	37	2.44%	0	0.7	74	0
5	Aug_25_2006	33.04	29.45	30.95	30.76	30.76	30.59	30.47(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-40	-13	124	1.96	49%	-0.24	37.5	2.46%	0	0.6	67	0

6	Aug_24_2006	33.12	29.33	30.67	31.02	31.01	30.72	30.57(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-70	-17	133	1.72	49%	-0.24	42.3	2.46%	0	0.7	65	0
7	Aug_23_2006	33.2	29.18	30.42	31.37	31.32	30.93	30.54(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	24	-90	-19	151	1.29	49%	-0.24	45.3	2.46%	0	0.8	64	0
8	Aug_22_2006	33.28	29.04	30.12	31.66	31.65	31.29	30.89(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	33	-80	-12	167	2.3	49%	-0.21	47.1	2.46%	0	1.1	66	0
9	Aug_21_2006	33.35	28.94	29.76	31.71	31.81	31.71	31.32(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	52	-10	10	176	1.39	49%	-0.21	52.5	2.46%	0	1.4	69	0
10	Aug_18_2006	33.42	28.81	29.4	31.14	31.72	32.01	31.8(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	69	120	39	159	2.93	49%	-0.15	45.8	2.45%	0	1.9	68	0

11	Aug_17_2006	33.47	28.6	29	30.22	30.75	31.9	32.28(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	67	310	49	121	2.22	49%	-0.15	30	2.45%	0	2.6	73	0
12	Aug_16_2006	33.52	28.4	28.56	29.32	29.58	31.43	32.01(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	83	460	78	96	4.13	44%	-0.12	16.2	2.44%	0	3	74	0
13	Aug_15_2006	33.56	28.25	28.14	28.37	28.52	29.6	31.12(9.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.1	63	280	68	47	6.26	43%	-0.18	-3.5	2.61%	0	3.3	69	0
14	Aug_14_2006	33.62	28.09	27.79	27.57	27.62	27.73	28.47(4.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	4	30	13	-22	3.85	36%	-0.27	-54.3	2.34%	0	0.6	43	0
15	Aug_11_2006	33.71	28.1	27.78	27.42	27.46	27.45	27.2(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	0	-8	-45	1.64	30%	-0.3	-73.7	2.28%	0	-1.4	34	0

16	Aug_10_2006	33.81	28.18	27.85	27.59	27.55	27.51	27.8(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	-10	-5	-35	2.39	30%	-0.29	-87.3	2.27%	0	-0.6	51	0
17	Aug_9_2006	33.91	28.21	27.83	27.67	27.77	27.47	27.28(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-60	-10	-44	1.65	30%	-0.29	-109.1	2.25%	0	-1.6	40	0
18	Aug_8_2006	34.01	28.28	27.89	27.84	27.92	27.6	27.08(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	-70	-19	-53	2.08	30%	-0.32	-107.1	2.25%	0	-1.8	35	0
19	Aug_7_2006	34.12	28.43	28.1	28.04	28.1	28.08	27.75(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	0	-9	-33	1.47	31%	-0.29	-95.3	2.24%	0	-0.9	48	0
20	Aug_4_2006	34.22	28.57	28.22	28.17	28.18	28.24	28.05(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	20	4	-19	1.52	31%	-0.29	-82.6	2.24%	0	-0.6	46	0

21	Aug_3_2006	34.32	28.71	28.21	28.15	28.12	28.24	28.2(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	-0	6	-27	1.59	31%	-0.26	-72.6	2.24%	0	-0.5	48	0
22	Aug_2_2006	34.41	28.87	28.26	28.01	28.04	28.12	28.13(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	20	3	-34	2.43	31%	-0.26	-66.3	2.24%	0	-0.6	49	0
23	Aug_1_2006	34.5	29.02	28.38	27.95	27.96	28.11	28.05(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	40	-4	-33	2.68	31%	-0.26	-64.7	2.24%	0	-0.8	48	0
24	Jul_31_2006	34.59	29.2	28.41	28.17	28.04	27.95	28.44(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-40	-4	-37	1.71	31%	-0.26	-53.8	2.26%	0	-0.6	40	0
25	Jul_28_2006	34.68	29.35	28.44	28.29	28.32	27.8	27.92(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-130	-9	-50	3.15	31%		-48.2	2.24%	0	-1	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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