Trading Signals: A Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 20, 2004

Trading Signals: A Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Agilent Technologies Inc.)
A latest price $22.2000 (1.79%) ($21.6100 - $22.3300) on Fri. Aug. 20, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.64% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $22.2000(1.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   A advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   A declines -2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support A advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(67%)    QQQ(65%)    XLK(65%)    IWM(64%)    EWG(61%)
Factors Impacting A price   A will decline at least -1.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.32% (StdDev 2.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

Resistance Level   $22.23
5 Day Moving Average   $21.54(3.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.45(3.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.23(-0.13%)
To recent high   -25.1%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $6.86b

Agilent Technologies, Inc. engages in the provision of application focused solutions for life sciences, diagnostics, and applied chemical markets. It operates through the following segments: Life Sciences and Applied Markets, Diagnostics and Genomics, and Agilent CrossLab. The Life Sciences and Applied Markets segment offers application-focused solutions that include instruments and software that enable to identify, quantify, and analyze the physical and biological properties of substances and products, as well as the clinical and life sciences research areas to interrogate samples at the molecular and cellular level. The Diagnostics and Genomics segment comprises activity providing active pharmaceutical ingredients for oligo-based therapeutics as well as solutions that include reagents, instruments, software, and consumables. The Agilent CrossLab segment includes startup, operational, training and compliance support, software as a service, and asset management and consultative services. The company was founded in May 1999 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

$. A price fluctuates within 5.08% (three month std-dev: 2.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_20_2004	26.19	22.23	21.45	21.54	21.58	21.89	22.2(1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	110	21	-55	1.46	46%	-0.34	-66.7	2.64%	0	-0	39	0
2	Aug_19_2004	26.28	22.3	21.4	21.2	21.23	21.64	21.81(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	140	25	-91	2.2	46%	-0.38	-73.6	2.66%	0	-0.4	39	0
3	Aug_18_2004	26.38	22.44	21.46	21.2	21	21.28	21.77(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-24	130	11	-129	2.69	46%	-0.38	-82.5	2.66%	0	-0.5	40	0
4	Aug_17_2004	26.48	22.57	21.56	20.78	20.78	20.81	21.19(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-45	10	-13	-142	3.28	44%	-0.41	-78.4	2.63%	0	-0.9	42	0
5	Aug_16_2004	26.59	22.79	21.75	21.11	21.07	20.72	20.72(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	-120	-15	-128	2.29	44%	-0.37	-72.9	2.61%	0	-1.4	37	0

6	Aug_13_2004	26.69	23.01	22.07	21.37	21.55	20.75	20.52(4.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-230	-25	-112	8.3	44%	-0.41	-72.7	2.61%	0	-1.7	37	0
7	Aug_12_2004	26.8	23.26	22.4	21.63	21.82	21.42	19.68(-9.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-59	-100	-43	-106	7.58	41%	-0.37	-74.7	2.55%	0	-2.5	28	0
8	Aug_11_2004	26.9	23.57	22.81	22.21	22.17	22.36	21.77(-4.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	50	-8	-81	5.04	49%	-0.26	-78.1	2.27%	0	-1.4	30	0
9	Aug_10_2004	26.97	23.77	22.93	22.44	22.31	22.21	22.86(3.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	-50	1	-82	2.95	50%	-0.26	-77.3	2.23%	0	-0.7	38	0
10	Aug_9_2004	27.04	23.94	22.97	22.51	22.42	21.98	22(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-53	-150	-31	-118	1.68	47%	-0.33	-76.9	2.21%	0	-1.4	25	0

11	Aug_6_2004	27.13	24.15	23.1	22.91	22.83	22.41	21.85(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-53	-140	-32	-116	1.9	47%	-0.33	-74.5	2.2%	0	-1.6	30	0
12	Aug_5_2004	27.22	24.4	23.28	23.3	23.29	22.86	22.55(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-130	-20	-107	1.43	49%	-0.37	-73.9	2.18%	0	-1.3	32	0
13	Aug_4_2004	27.32	24.62	23.5	23.5	23.51	23.25	22.95(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-80	-11	-102	2.51	49%	-0.26	-76.6	2.18%	0	-1.2	31	0
14	Aug_3_2004	27.39	24.83	23.66	23.48	23.61	23.72	23.18(-3.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-28	50	1	-113	2.37	49%	-0.25	-82.1	2.18%	0	-1.1	32	0
15	Aug_2_2004	27.46	25.04	23.9	23.49	23.45	23.76	24.03(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-17	90	16	-114	1.91	53%	-0.29	-89	2.15%	0	-0.7	33	0

16	Jul_30_2004	27.54	25.24	24.01	23.32	23.27	23.49	23.81(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-26	60	11	-138	3.1	50%	-0.25	-88.3	2.16%	0	-0.9	31	0
17	Jul_29_2004	27.61	25.48	24.15	23.27	23.2	23.14	23.55(3.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-49	-30	-11	-164	3.79	50%	-0.29	-80.9	2.18%	0	-1.1	26	0
18	Jul_28_2004	27.69	25.75	24.37	23.53	23.39	23.05	22.81(-1.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-60	-120	-24	-169	3.93	47%	-0.36	-67.9	2.14%	0	-1.6	17	0
19	Jul_27_2004	27.79	26.09	24.67	23.87	23.8	23.26	23.25(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-71	-170	-38	-170	3.3	47%	-0.39	-54.6	2.14%	0	-1.6	17	0
20	Jul_26_2004	27.9	26.38	24.98	24.38	24.34	23.74	23.19(-1.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-65	-180	-36	-153	2.89	47%	-0.43	-41.1	2.14%	0	-1.8	16	0

21	Jul_23_2004	28.02	26.7	25.3	24.78	24.86	24.33	23.56(-5.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-60	-140	-31	-147	3.85	47%	-0.39	-27.9	2.14%	0	-1.8	14	0
22	Jul_22_2004	28.13	26.91	25.63	25.13	25.15	24.94	24.85(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-54	-60	-23	-147	3.37	52%	-0.32	-19.9	2.05%	0	-1.3	16	0
23	Jul_21_2004	28.22	27.03	25.83	25.33	25.42	25.39	24.5(-5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-47	0	-11	-155	3.9	52%	-0.35	-14.5	2.05%	0	-1.7	10	0
24	Jul_20_2004	28.32	27.13	26.12	25.59	25.57	25.36	25.79(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-49	-60	-9	-170	3.05	52%	-0.32	-10.4	1.96%	0	-1	11	0
25	Jul_19_2004	28.41	27.14	26.27	25.69	25.71	25.46	25.2(-0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-60	-70	-20	-178	1.84	49%		-9.1	2.04%	0	-1.4	15	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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