| XLP latest price $28.0800 (1.74%) ($27.7700 - $28.3500) on Tue. Aug. 5, 2008. |
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| Trend Analysis and Forecast |
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| Average Daily Percentage Swing | 1.04% (three month average) |
| RSI | 59 |
| Latest Price | $28.0800(1.74%) |
| Stocks Behave Similarly | Similar Stock List |
| Top Holdings | Top Holding List |
| Daily Trend | XLP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days. |
| Weekly Trend | XLP advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks. |
| Market Behavior | Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap. |
| Correlated ETFs | Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%) XLU(73%) XLK(69%) XLY(69%) QQQ(65%) |
| Factors Impacting XLP price | XLP will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%) SHY(-11%) TIP(-7%) GLD(3%) LQD(17%) |
| Explanation | The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market. |
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| Relative Volatility | (options are extremely cheap) |
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| Market Trend Strength | -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%) |
| Hourly BBV | 0 () |
| Intraday Trend | 0.7% |
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