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     Wed. Jun. 21, 2006

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)

XLK latest price $20.3300 (1.3%) ($20.0000 - $20.4600) on Wed. Jun. 21, 2006.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.95% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $20.3300(1.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XLK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLK declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(75%)  
Factors Impacting XLK price  XLK will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.6%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $20.18(0.74%)
10 Day Moving Average  $19.98(1.75%)
20 Day Moving Average  $20.23(0.49%)
To recent high  -9.8%
To recent low  3.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.73% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

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