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     Fri. Jan. 16, 2004

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)

XLK latest price $22.0500 (1.29%) ($21.8000 - $22.0600) on Fri. Jan. 16, 2004.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.19% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $22.0500(1.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XLK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLK advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)  
Factors Impacting XLK price  XLK will decline at least -0.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(15%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.595% (StdDev 1.19%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $21.73(1.47%)
10 Day Moving Average  $21.53(2.42%)
20 Day Moving Average  $20.89(5.55%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  15.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XLK price fluctuates within 3.4% (three month std-dev: 1.19%) daily (68% of days).

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