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     Thu. Jul. 10, 2003

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)

XLK latest price $17.7600 (-2.31%) ($17.6900 - $18.0700) on Thu. Jul. 10, 2003.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.5% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $17.7600(-2.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLK advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)  
Factors Impacting XLK price  XLK will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(14%)    OIH(50%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -1.2%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $17.93(-0.95%)
10 Day Moving Average  $17.63(0.74%)
20 Day Moving Average  $17.48(1.6%)
To recent high  -2.4%
To recent low  23.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.06% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

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