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     Wed. Apr. 8, 2020

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)

XLF latest price $22.1900 (4.37%) ($21.3400 - $22.3300) on Wed. Apr. 8, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  4.5% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $22.1900(4.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XLF advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLF advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  VYM(91%)    XLI(88%)    XLB(83%)    IWD(82%)    IVE(81%)  
Factors Impacting XLF price  XLF will decline at least -2.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-62%)    UUP(-30%)    VXX(-28%)    TLT(-20%)    BNDX(1%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -2.25% (StdDev 4.5%)
Hourly BBV   1.2 ()
Intraday Trend   2.8%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $20.84(6.48%)
10 Day Moving Average  $20.87(6.32%)
20 Day Moving Average  $20.44(8.56%)
To recent high  -28.8%
To recent low  25.7%
Market Cap  $N/A