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     Fri. Mar. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: XLF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF)

XLF latest price $17.2885 (2.6%) ($17.0194 - $17.3115) on Fri. Mar. 11, 2016.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.6% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $17.2885(2.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XLF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLF advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  VYM(91%)    IVE(88%)    IWD(88%)    XLI(86%)    VT(85%)  
Factors Impacting XLF price  XLF will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-34%)    VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-10%)    IGOV(-8%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.6%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $16.99(1.76%)
10 Day Moving Average  $16.92(2.18%)
20 Day Moving Average  $16.55(4.46%)
To recent high  -7.4%
To recent low  14.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XLF price fluctuates within 2.72% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

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