Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 4, 2013

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $47.6300 (-1.2%) ($47.1800 - $48.7000) on Wed. Dec. 4, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $47.6300(-1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(79%)    SPY(76%)    PEJ(73%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(68%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.31(-1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.02(-0.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.23(0.85%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 2.03% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2013	43.45	47.23	48.02	48.31			47.63(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	22	-10000	-8	113	0.01	71%	0.16	74.4	0.87%	0	0.4	70	0
2	Dec_3_2013	43.38	47.16	47.94	48.47			48.21(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	37	-10000	2	141	0	73%	0.18	81.4	0.87%	0	1.1	80	0
3	Dec_2_2013	43.3	47.03	47.83	48.42			48.4(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	42	-10000	5	153	0.01	73%	0.19	84.8	0.87%	0	1.4	80	0
4	Nov_29_2013	43.22	46.89	47.67	48.32			48.59(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	-10000	11	157	0	71%	0.26	85.3	0.88%	0	1.7	83	0
5	Nov_27_2013	43.11	46.72	47.47	48.09			48.73(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	55	-10000	19	161	0.02	65%	0.21	80.4	0.87%	0	2	89	0

6	Nov_26_2013	43.02	46.53	47.22	47.69			48.41(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	-10000	15	120	0.02	65%	0.21	79.3	0.96%	0	2	74	0
7	Nov_25_2013	42.93	46.36	46.99	47.34			47.98(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-10000	8	95	0.01	65%	0.21	82.3	0.95%	0	1.9	73	0
8	Nov_22_2013	42.84	46.21	46.8	47.15			47.9(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	-10000	10	89	0	65%	0.12	90.8	0.95%	0	2.1	74	0
9	Nov_21_2013	42.79	46.06	46.63	46.93			47.42(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	7	82	0	64%	0.21	98.1	0.95%	0	1.8	73	0
10	Nov_20_2013	42.7	45.93	46.44	46.77			46.72(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	4	75	0	62%	0.19	101.2	0.94%	0	1.1	72	0

11	Nov_19_2013	42.62	45.81	46.38	46.68			46.69(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	-10000	6	84	0.01	62%	0.19	96.2	0.94%	0	1	73	0
12	Nov_18_2013	42.54	45.67	46.31	46.56			47(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	28	-10000	7	89	0.02	62%	0.19	89.7	0.93%	0	1.4	76	0
13	Nov_15_2013	42.46	45.49	46.18	46.4			46.8(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	27	-10000	6	89	0	58%	0.21	86	0.93%	0	1.4	77	0
14	Nov_14_2013	42.37	45.34	46.05	46.28			46.65(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	10	87	0.01	58%	0.21	85.5	0.96%	0	1.4	72	0
15	Nov_13_2013	42.28	45.18	45.91	46.06			46.26(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	1	72	0	58%	0.21	79.8	0.97%	0	1	72	0

16	Nov_12_2013	42.19	45.02	45.79	46.03			46.08(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	0	81	0.01	58%	0.19	78.7	0.97%	0	0.9	75	0
17	Nov_11_2013	42.11	44.85	45.7	46.02			46.2(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	4	101	0.01	58%	0.21	81.1	0.97%	0	1.2	81	0
18	Nov_8_2013	42.02	44.69	45.57	45.93			46.22(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	-10000	6	116	0.01	58%	0.19	83.7	0.97%	0	1.3	82	0
19	Nov_7_2013	41.94	44.53	45.45	45.79			45.53(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10000	3	124	0.01	56%	0.17	82.5	0.96%	0	0.9	72	0
20	Nov_6_2013	41.87	44.38	45.38	45.73			46.14(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	44	-10000	10	146	0	57%	0.19	76.4	0.94%	0	1.4	83	0

21	Nov_5_2013	41.79	44.15	45.2	45.51			46(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	43	-10000	8	148	0.01	57%	0.17	67.7	0.95%	0	1.4	85	0
22	Nov_4_2013	41.72	43.94	44.98	45.34			45.77(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	-10000	8	154	0.01	57%	0.19	61.5	0.95%	0	1.4	86	0
23	Nov_1_2013	41.64	43.76	44.75	45.16			45.51(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	4	146	0.03	59%	0.17	59	0.95%	0	1.4	73	0
24	Oct_31_2013	41.57	43.58	44.58	45.07			45.22(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	4	151	0	59%	0.19	56.1	0.97%	0	1.4	73	0
25	Oct_30_2013	41.49	43.42	44.4	44.99			45.05(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	-10000	7	162	0.02	59%		54.3	0.97%	0	1.4	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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