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     Thu. Oct. 17, 2013

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)

XAR latest price $43.4400 (1.38%) ($42.9200 - $43.4500) on Thu. Oct. 17, 2013.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.95% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $43.4400(1.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XAR advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XAR advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IWM(79%)    SPY(76%)    PEJ(73%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(68%)  
Factors Impacting XAR price  XAR will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-23%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.2%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $42.97(1.09%)
10 Day Moving Average  $42.51(2.19%)
20 Day Moving Average  $42.56(2.07%)
To recent high  -1.4%
To recent low  6.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.27% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

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