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     Thu. Oct. 10, 2013

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)

XAR latest price $42.4300 (2.12%) ($42.0800 - $42.4300) on Thu. Oct. 10, 2013.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.94% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $42.4300(2.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XAR advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XAR declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IWM(79%)    SPY(76%)    PEJ(73%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(68%)  
Factors Impacting XAR price  XAR will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-23%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.7%
  
 

  


Resistance Level  $42.7
5 Day Moving Average  $41.98(1.07%)
10 Day Moving Average  $42.24(0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average  $42.7(-0.63%)
To recent high  -3.7%
To recent low  6.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.57% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

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