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     Thu. Jul. 11, 2013

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)

XAR latest price $40.5200 (1.45%) ($40.3300 - $40.5200) on Thu. Jul. 11, 2013.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.93% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $40.5200(1.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XAR advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XAR advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IWM(79%)    SPY(76%)    PEJ(73%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(67%)  
Factors Impacting XAR price  XAR will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-23%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.5%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $39.78(1.86%)
10 Day Moving Average  $39.26(3.21%)
20 Day Moving Average  $38.67(4.78%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  19.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XAR price fluctuates within 2.09% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

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