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     Thu. Nov. 1, 2012

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)

XAR latest price $31.5500 (3.51%) ($31.5500 - $31.6000) on Thu. Nov. 1, 2012.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.89% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $31.5500(3.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XAR advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XAR advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IWM(78%)    SPY(75%)    PEJ(72%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(67%)  
Factors Impacting XAR price  XAR will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-23%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.2%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $30.94(1.97%)
10 Day Moving Average  $31.1(1.45%)
20 Day Moving Average  $30.97(1.87%)
To recent high  -0.1%
To recent low  9.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.1% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

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