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     Mon. Mar. 19, 2012

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)

XAR latest price $31.0600 (-0.03%) ($31.0500 - $31.0800) on Mon. Mar. 19, 2012.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.04% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $31.0600(-0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XAR advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XAR advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IWM(78%)    SPY(75%)    PEJ(71%)    XLY(71%)    XLK(66%)  
Factors Impacting XAR price  XAR will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-23%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $31.06(0%)
10 Day Moving Average  $30.62(1.44%)
20 Day Moving Average  $30.62(1.44%)
To recent high  -0.3%
To recent low  15.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.4% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

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