Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 23, 2007

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $401.3600 (0.5%) ($396.0800 - $402.7200) on Wed. May. 23, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $401.3600(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(61%)    VWO(41%)    EEM(39%)    SPY(38%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(3%)    LQD(3%)    GLD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $401.87(-0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $395.56(1.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $395.98(1.36%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.37% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_23_2007	393.61	395.98	395.56	401.87	401.36(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10000	9	82	0.29	53%	0.02	-0.8	1.48%	0	0.6	55	0
2	May_22_2007	393.53	396.33	393.87	399.25	399.36(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	5	54	0.31	53%	0.02	-4.2	1.48%	0	0.3	51	0
3	May_21_2007	393.47	396.47	392.82	397.76	406.56(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	13	37	0.47	59%	-0.02	-8.1	1.47%	0	1	50	0
4	May_18_2007	393.54	396.51	390.52	394.14	400.8(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	-10000	8	-9	0.24	59%	-0.03	-18.5	1.49%	0	0.4	39	0
5	May_17_2007	393.64	396.45	388.99	391.7	401.28(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	11	-48	0.4	59%	-0.03	-31.4	1.5%	0	0.5	36	0

6	May_16_2007	393.74	396.06	388.08	388.48	388.24(-0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-19	-10000	3	-86	0.34	57%	-0.07	-49.4	1.45%	0	-0.8	33	0
7	May_15_2007	394	396.73	388.84	387.65	391.92(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-25	-10000	2	-104	0.26	57%	-0.01	-54.4	1.47%	0	-0.5	33	0