Trading Signals: UPS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UPS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 3, 2021

Trading Signals: UPS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(UPS)
UPS latest price $200.7300 (0.42%) ($197.7250 - $202.6300) on Fri. Dec. 3, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.64% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $200.7300(0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UPS declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UPS declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UPS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(71%)    VYM(66%)    VT(65%)    XLF(63%)    VUG(60%)
Factors Impacting UPS price   UPS will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-46%)    UUP(-28%)    VXX(-17%)    TBT(-1%)    TLT(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV -0.4 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $207.13
5 Day Moving Average   $199.56(0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $204.02(-1.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $207.13(-3.09%)
To recent high   -8%
To recent low   12.5%
Market Cap   $173.15b

United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a logistics and package delivery company providing supply chain management services. Its logistics services include transportation, distribution, contract logistics, ground freight, ocean freight, air freight, customs brokerage, insurance, and financing. The company operates through the following segments: U.S. Domestic Package, International Package, and Supply Chain and Freight. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers a full spectrum of U.S. domestic guaranteed ground and air package transportation services. The International Package segment includes small package operations in Europe, Asia-Pacific, Canada and Latin America, Indian sub-continent, and the Middle East and Africa. The Supply Chain and Freight segment offers transportation, distribution, and international trade and brokerage services. The company was founded by James E. Casey and Claude Ryan on August 28, 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, GA.

$. UPS price fluctuates within 2.51% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 24 Average positive next day return: 1.82%(58%) Average negative next day return: -1.78%(42%) Sample size 24 Average positive next three day return: 3.81%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -4.47%(46%) Sample size 24 Average positive next weekly return: 5.55%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.32%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2021	197.76	207.13	204.02	199.56	199.1	199.01	200.73(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10	25	-88	2.58	51%	-0.06	-59.8	1.64%	-0.4	-1.2	32	-2.2
2	Dec_2_2021	197.88	207.65	204.7	200.47	200	197.49	199.9(2.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-113	-90	-104	-141	2.42	51%	-0.06	-60.6	1.64%	0.5	-1.5	30	-1.7
3	Dec_1_2021	198	208.31	205.53	202.27	202.23	199.2	194.15(-2.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-180	-110	-184	-166	2.94	47%	-0.09	-53.3	1.6%	-1.9	-3	23	-2.6
4	Nov_30_2021	198.18	209.14	207.39	205.8	205.37	202.51	198.37(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-144	-100	-152	-118	6.27	50%	-0.08	-57.9	1.57%	-1.5	-3.1	31	-2
5	Nov_29_2021	198.33	209.82	208.77	208.3	207.93	205.26	204.64(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-120	-100	-132	-83	3.43	54%	-0.05	-43.4	1.52%	-1	-2.2	42	-0.3

6	Nov_26_2021	198.42	210.27	209.64	209.07	209.37	208.24	205.3(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-80	-30	-90	-51	1.94	54%	-0.12	-18.4	1.52%	0	-2.3	46	-3.8
7	Nov_24_2021	198.65	210.71	210.45	209.5	209.84	210.59	208.87(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	30	18	1	1.05	56%	-0.02	19.6	1.49%	0	-0.9	46	0.8
8	Nov_23_2021	198.68	210.88	210.74	209.3	209.18	210.51	211.81(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	43	40	54	11	2.35	56%	0.07	44.3	1.48%	1.3	0.4	47	0.9
9	Nov_22_2021	198.54	211.15	210.55	209.31	208.88	209.1	210.88(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	0	30	3	2.22	56%	-0.01	77.2	1.48%	1.6	-0.1	54	0.7
10	Nov_19_2021	198.55	210.85	210.4	209.44	209.46	207.85	208.47(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-50	-54	-32	2.68	56%	-0.01	85.1	1.47%	0.7	-0.7	46	1.1

11	Nov_18_2021	198.57	210.66	210.42	210.38	210.43	208.67	207.47(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-105	-60	-120	-58	3.92	54%	0	87.9	1.47%	-0.8	-0.8	38	1.7
12	Nov_17_2021	198.57	210.34	210.78	211.54	211.91	211.08	207.85(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-54	-20	-62	-28	2.54	54%	0	83.9	1.49%	-1.6	-0.5	38	2.1
13	Nov_16_2021	198.57	209.8	211.28	212.3	212.9	212.19	211.87(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-10	-10	2	2.29	59%	0.04	83.2	1.47%	-0.8	0.3	49	2.1
14	Nov_15_2021	198.5	208.97	211.03	211.92	212.56	212.74	211.52(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	10	-13	-19	1.38	59%	0.03	81.2	1.48%	-1.9	0.4	37	2.2
15	Nov_12_2021	198.44	208.13	210.96	211.48	211.88	213.6	213.19(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	59	60	71	22	1.59	59%	0.04	81.6	1.47%	0	0.7	63	1.1

16	Nov_11_2021	198.37	207.2	210.93	210.48	210.75	212.39	213.29(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	86	60	101	40	2.09	59%	0.05	78.9	1.47%	0.8	0.8	63	0.5
17	Nov_10_2021	198.27	206.15	210.94	209.97	209.69	210.15	211.64(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	10	29	31	2.41	59%	0.03	73.6	1.48%	1.2	0.6	67	0.5
18	Nov_9_2021	198.21	204.85	210.97	210.19	209.92	209.11	209.96(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	6	-30	-8	49	1.55	59%	0.04	69	1.47%	1.4	0.5	69	0.9
19	Nov_8_2021	198.14	203.54	211.73	210.02	210.17	209.22	209.3(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-26	-30	-58	71	2.17	59%	0.06	65	1.48%	0.4	0.5	70	1
20	Nov_5_2021	198.02	202.23	211.3	210.34	210.44	210.72	208.22(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	10	-35	106	2.11	59%	0.05	64.9	1.48%	-1.1	0.5	70	1

21	Nov_4_2021	197.92	201.05	210.97	211.39	211.16	211.13	210.72(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	56	-0	20	163	2.45	56%	0.05	66.1	1.47%	0.2	0.8	73	1.3
22	Nov_3_2021	197.82	199.64	209.96	212.03	211.62	210.16	212.74(1.72%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-50	-48	160	1.77	56%	0.06	66.3	1.49%	2.4	1	77	1.3
23	Nov_2_2021	197.71	198.05	208.32	211.92	212.27	211.2	209.14(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-31	-30	-97	168	2.21	54%	0.04	64.7	1.48%	-1	0.9	80	1.3
24	Nov_1_2021	197.63	196.6	206.91	213.71	213.35	213.09	210.9(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	47	-10	-21	252	1.86	54%	0.04	65.7	1.47%	-1.5	1.1	84	1.2
25	Oct_29_2021	197.55	194.98	205.23	212.31	214.39	213.34	213.47(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	116	-0	55	297	2.36	54%		61.1	1.47%	0	1.5	88	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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