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     Mon. May. 21, 2012

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)

UGAZ latest price $379025.0000 (-10.77%) ($367250.0000 - $405875.0000) on Mon. May. 21, 2012.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  76.11% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $379025.0000(-10.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  UGAZ advances 3.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  UGAZ advances 18.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  EMHY(2%)    EWJ(2%)    EWP(2%)    EWY(2%)    EEM(1%)  
Factors Impacting UGAZ price  UGAZ will decline at least -38.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
  GLD(-7%)    TLT(-2%)    REMX(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)    XLP(-1%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -38.055% (StdDev 76.11%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -5%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $384257.5(-1.36%)
10 Day Moving Average  $356397.54(6.35%)
20 Day Moving Average  $308051.44(23.04%)
To recent high  -10.8%
To recent low  566.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

Average daily price decay: -5.79%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 5.79% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 19.98% (three month std-dev: 76.11%) daily (68% of days).

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