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     Thu. Oct. 5, 2017

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $254.6600 (0.59%) ($253.2000 - $254.6800) on Thu. Oct. 5, 2017.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.44% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $254.6600(0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(92%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.22% (StdDev 0.44%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.4%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $252.85(0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average  $251.32(1.33%)
20 Day Moving Average  $250.41(1.7%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  5.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  2.3
One Month Target Price  > $254.66
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $249.06
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  119.7000 k (Fri. Sep. 29, 2017) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1.5% away from the target price of 254.66.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.74% (three month std-dev: 0.44%) daily (68% of days).

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