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     Thu. Jul. 13, 2017

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jun. 17, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $244.4200 (0.17%) ($243.7600 - $244.5500) on Thu. Jul. 13, 2017.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.49% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $244.4200(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(92%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.245% (StdDev 0.49%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.2%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $243.02(0.58%)
10 Day Moving Average  $242.43(0.82%)
20 Day Moving Average  $242.73(0.7%)
To recent high  -0.1%
To recent low  5.1%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.6
One Month Target Price  > $244.42
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $238.43
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  69.6000 k (Fri. Jul. 7, 2017) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.1% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -0.2% away from the target price of 244.42.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.42% (three month std-dev: 0.49%) daily (68% of days).

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