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     Fri. Jan. 6, 2017

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jun. 17, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $227.2100 (0.36%) ($225.9000 - $227.7500) on Fri. Jan. 6, 2017.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.55% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $227.2100(0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(91%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $225.79(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average  $225.53(0.74%)
20 Day Moving Average  $225.8(0.62%)
To recent high  -0.2%
To recent low  8.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.4
One Month Target Price  > $227.21
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $220.96
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  81.4000 k (Fri. Jan. 6, 2017) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.2% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -3.4% away from the target price of 227.21.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.45% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

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