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     Wed. Aug. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $217.6400 (-0.25%) ($217.2300 - $218.4000) on Wed. Aug. 10, 2016.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.81% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $217.6400(-0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(91%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-16%)    IPO(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $217.69(-0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average  $217.13(0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average  $216.83(0.37%)
To recent high  -0.2%
To recent low  9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1
One Month Target Price  > $217.64
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $208.83
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  111.3000 k (Fri. Aug. 5, 2016) Decrease
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.2% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -0.9% away from the target price of 217.64.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.38% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

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