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     Tue. Apr. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $209.9000 (0.32%) ($208.9400 - $210.2000) on Tue. Apr. 19, 2016.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.99% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $209.9000(0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(91%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-17%)    IPO(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $208.59(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average  $206.88(1.46%)
20 Day Moving Average  $205.89(1.95%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  14.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  2
One Month Target Price  > $209.9
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $199.51
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  -89.5000 k (Fri. Apr. 15, 2016) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -4.9% away from the target price of 209.9.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.96% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

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